Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
The way it looks right now, he will win toss up states NC, OH, FL, AZ, NV, IA.
That puts him at 265. he takes NH + the 2nd district of ME and he's there.
That is without winning CO, VA, (both within the MOE) and swinging any of the traditional blue states that are absolutely in play based on post-FBI investigation polls (MI, WI, PA, NM). He gets ANY of these and he is in with or without New England.
Prices are dropping on Trump daily by overseas bookmakers. Currently 65% of the waging is on Trump.
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Something else to consider - virtually EVERY poll was heavily weight +D to account for the support/popularity of Obama in 2008 and 2012, primarily among the African American community. That support, in early voting is nonexistent thus far, as early voting among African Americans is down 25%.
This is an enormously important development. All polls, particularly national polls, should be eyed cautiously.