Quote:
Originally Posted by GBBob
Dan...what odds do you think are fair? Small wager with check to Byk for horse rescue...maybe $200?
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I think the fair price right now is Hillary -200 (with no vig). Most places actually have her at about -280 right now, but that looks a little bit high considering that Nate Silver gives her a 69% chance of winning right now. If she had a 66.66% chance, that would mean she should be exactly -200. She has gotten a strong bounce from the debate. She was only about -140 or so a week ago.
Nate Silver had her chances of winning at about 54% last week. So she has definitely gotten a strong bounce. Here are the odds at several different places. Most places have her around -280 and Trump at +220 or so.
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/...on-2016/winner