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Old 12-19-2006, 10:22 AM
todko todko is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Franklin, Ohio
Posts: 280
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Lemons needs things to break perfectly for her and there to be traffic trouble like there was in the Oaks. The race completely fell apart. How could it be one of the fastest Oaks in history when her beyer didnt exceed 100?

I had very little money invested in this as I liked Balance but didnt trust her all that much. Wait a While did run very well.
Beyer figures are truly worthless. If you bet the Beyer figures you will lose money. Beyer figures are only slightly better than selecting at random.

CD was not running that fast that day -- and check Lemons time historically.

There are people on this board who are seriously duped by Beyer figures.

Speed figures are a fallacy. Any time you have a dependent variable (speed figure) based on an iffy independent variable (track variant) you have a formula riddled with error.
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