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Originally Posted by Pointg5
Smarty could carry his speed short and long, I don't care who a horse is by, once they prove it on the track. People that sit around and study pedigrees and carry on and on with the better bred nonsense, usually no very little else except pedigrees and who's better bred. These are the same people that said Barbaro couldn't win the Derby, because of RAN in the Dam sire line, that didn't work out so good for them....
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Pedigree does matter! There are always going to be exceptions to the rule, but if a horse like this 2yo breaks his maiden impressively (I just watched it, and damn it WAS impressive) the fact that he is by a horse that won the Derby, Belmont, and Travers makes it MORE LIKELY that he will like the added distance of races like the Champaign or the BC Juvenile. Are there horses that run differently on the track then their pedigree indicates? OF COURSE! But in general there IS a reason that a horse like Thunder Gulch had a higher stud fee than some other - less accomplished - stallions. In addition to being by Thunder Gulch, this 2yo's dam (Circle of Life) was also a G1 winner. This pedigree + an impressive debut = a horse to watch for the major 2 yo stakes this summer and fall.