Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Virtually every poll since the end of November has the 2 of them in a virtual dead heat (neither exceed the respective MoE when leading):
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html
Considering it would take a minor miracle for Trump to carry New York (compared to a complete impossibility for the rest of the field), the GOP, as usual, will be spotting the Dems 53 EC votes (between NY and CA).
The GOP needs to carry FL, PA and OH to have a prayer, and Trump is leading (over his GOP counterparts) in all three states.
A more interesting view would be the same poll, but broken down by battleground states, and then compared to Clinton-Cruz and then Clinton-Rubio |
Good analysis.
New York will be difficult due to historic left leaning, but I wasn't sure if Trump would get any edge for being a lifelong New Yorker versus Hillary's carpetbagger status for when she accepted the Moynihan senate seat as part of that plan to get her in office. You know - she couldn't be bothered by running for the House - would have been "beneath" her.