[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$44,383 P6 C/O starts here..

Dangerous turf sprint starts sequence with interesting mix of firsters and runners with experience. Pletcher/Stonestreet FTS Boalt Hall SCR'D (Tepid 7-2 ML: fave) has to be dealt with obviously, but doesn't look any better than C. Brown/Casse offerings inside (1-2) or the ones that have started already (5-7-10)..

Best Value: #10 Jan's Reserve 8-1: Shortens up, adds hood.. 4th
Next Best: #1 Light Brigade 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Gametown 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Manhattan Dan 6-1 WON ($8.00)


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Terrific 9f money allowance with tricky melange of stakes types (Noble Moon, Street Babe, Don Dulce) and upward-arcing aspirants (So Clutch, Face of Winner, Hereditary). Face of Winner should sit behind stretch-out player So Clutch and will have to be collared by one of the stalker-closers..

Most Likely: #6 Face of Winner Late SCR (Gate)
Next Best: #8 Hereditary 2-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Street Babe 10-1 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #2 So Clutch 8-1 5th


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Anything close to the sloppy Thursday 7/29 try from Fish Trappe Road will win this, but the 'big fig' surface question hovers in the air over this Calhoun trainee. Schettino's Charming Indy has been exchanging morning blows with impressive first out winner Pagan..

Most Likely: #10 Fish Trappe Road 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Get Jets 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #8 Spin Cycle 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Love That Jazz 5-1 2nd


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Morethanawarning 3-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #5 Sylvia T 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Yes for Success 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Blooper 10-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (DD)

Always hard for me to be objective in a race Dee Tee participates. Lack of other opportunity gives our own William'sluckygray a shot in this serious ALW. She needs to improve about 4 lengths versus the best of these, but the 5-9# weight break via conditions and Cancel makes up for as much of that, so improvement from July gives her a chance. She'll have to clear from the very difficult #8 berth before the first of the three turns, but should be able to relax past the stands the first time. Gary and his staff have her going well and she looks terrific. Not sure about the 11 furlongs, but the way she cruised up front and finished at Belmont, it may be a fit for her.. Hoping to get 'Lucky'!

Best Value: #9 William'sluckygray 15-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Gotachancetodance 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Rock Me Mama 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Trophee 5-2 WON ($6.60)


10th: NY-CLM, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #5 Saltine Warrior 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Groupthink 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 8-1 4th/5th
Super Add: #2 American Creed 6-1 WON ($13.00)


P6 Grid:

5: 1-10 (A), 2 (B), 5-7 (C)
6: 6 (A), 8 (B), 2-4-5 (C)
7: 10 (A), - (B), 1-7-8 (C)
8: 11 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 2-9 (A), 3-5-8 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x2x5x2 = 120 x $2 = $240


P4 Grid:

7: 10 (A), 1 (B), 2-7-8 (C)
8: 11 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2-8 (C)
9: 2-9 (A), 3-5-8 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 4-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x $.50 = $75

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/11/8/2) Paid $305.00


Good luck!
Steve