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Originally Posted by King Glorious
To be honest, I didn't know if the mile race at Laurel would be two-turns or not. But, IMO, a trainer can use workouts to find that out. It's not too difficult to simulate race conditions in a workout and it's not hard at all to get a horse to work two-turns. My main goal would be not to get the horse too drained before the big day. I've long disagreed with the theory that a horse has to run at 9f before he can run at 10f. I don't think the Florida Derby distance helped Barbaro win. I don't think the Arkansas Derby distance helped Smarty win. I think either would have won even if their preps had been 8-8.5f. I'm a big believer in the fact that either a horse can do something or they can't.
If I did want to see an actual race at two-turns though, I'd substitute the Lexington for the Derby Trial.
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most of your theories i don't think hold up very well historically speaking.
Maybe this is not surprising, but i actually think you're wrong on everything you said here.
A sports analogy:
No sports team can be prepared to win the championship off of light practices.