Quote:
Originally Posted by joeydb
Ever hear of the Scientific Method?
It's a technique for experimentation where you hold all other things constant to measure the effect of the one variable being studied.
So, when you see the state of horse racing in 2015 as a constant, and the variable is whether or not we had a Triple Crown winner, are you going to assert that having it is no better than not having it?
I think not.
As you pointed out, at least there was attention and interest. Some of that will carry over. Even more so if American Pharoah goes to the Haskell as announced today, and hopefully the Travers and Breeders' Cup Classic. He'll be in the news again and people will be interested. Imagine if he wins the Haskell and Travers? The Breeders' Cup could be huge.
Not trying to be critical, but you had to really bend that curve to make the Triple Crown success into a negative for horse racing. It didn't matter what the inputs were - the answer was negative. f(x) = "pessimism".
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the only negatives are that for the next year or two, some interest may wane...but i'd imagine that a lot of people will still go to the belmont if the tc is on the line, everyone wants to be a witness to history. the big help to the belmont, is the derby winner taking the preakness. that is more of an effect than how long ago the tc was won.
the other real negative is just regarding the one horse-it's been so long, that we all know he's going to be rushed to retirement like secretariat, and not run longer like the two who followed in 77 and 78.