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Old 06-03-2015, 11:33 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
Changes are noted in color. Blue for higher odds, Red for lower.

Best odds:
Am Pharoah to win: -120 at 5D (that's 0.83-1)
Am Pharoah to not win: +100 at 5D
(Bookmaker took down its 'AP won't win' bet.)

Other horses to win:

Frosted 5-1 at 5D
Materiality 6-1 at BM
Mubtaahij 13-1 at BM
MadefromLucky 17.5-1 at BM
Tale of Verve 20-1 at 5D
Keen Ice 26-1 at BM
Frammento 35.5-1 at BM
The effective "takeout" with those odds is 8.5%. If you convert to Belmont's 16%, it'd look like this:

Am Phar 3-5 (but closer to 4-5)
Frosted 4-1 (but closer to 9-2)
Materiality 5-1
Mubtaahij 11-1
Madefromlucky 15-1
Keen Ice 22-1
Tale of Verve 17-1
Frammento 30-1
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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