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Old 05-09-2015, 08:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,994
Default 5/9: Churchill Downs (5th-11th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Unbridled Sidney, F&M-3+, 5f-T (Lucky 7, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Free as a Bird 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Primed for Passion 30-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Katie's Eyes 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #10 Gal About Town 15-1 6th


6th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Cat's Destiny 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Chalice 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 How Bout That 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Quality Council 7-2 6th
Super Add: #7 Blue Sky Magnolia 10-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Good Time Rambles 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Lexingtonian 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Belvin 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #6 Harbor Bound 7-2 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Faves (1/7) own (slight) edge but handful of lurking prices (4/6/8/9) hardly impossible..

Most Likely: #1 Holiday Hostess 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Daring Duchess 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #8 Back Flip 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Tachiello 5-1 3rd


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Academic Break 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #2 Shes a True Beauty 4-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Divine Praises 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Wine Train 15-1 8th


10th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Market Magic 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Compelling Case 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Naples Gold 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Savings Account 3-1 3rd


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Yikes.. Murderous nightcap with some very notable pedigree/sibling types involved..

Most Likely: #2 Mayla 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Barbadia 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Earlybirdspecial 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Callista 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Hi-5 Play: #1 World Elite 15-1 11th


P4 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), 1-10 (C)
10: 4-8 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)
11: 2-4 (A), 1-8-9-11 (B), 3-5-6-7-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Full (A/B/C): $84

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,4 with 4,8 with 2,4 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 3 with 4,8 with 2,4 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,4 with 4,8 with 1,8,9,11 - $16.00

A's with Two B's

4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 3 with 4,8 with 1,8,9,11 - $8.00

A's with One C

5 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 4,8 with 2,4 - $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,10 with 4,8 with 2,4 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,4 with 7,10 with 2,4 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,4 with 4,8 with 3,5,6,7,10,12 - $24.00

Total: $84.00


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-09-2015 at 08:06 PM.
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