First is kinda hard to play In my opinion.
I expect Lethal Missile to be a heavy fave, as he is lone speed off some good races, including his last where he was 3rd to double return winner Successful Affair. Hes also drawn the rail.
Whats the problem? To me its that there has been a trainer switch to Charlie Baker of Finger Lakes from Romans. And while Baker is very good, the horse has been training at Finger Lakes as of late and I know for a fact its harder to get one fit or keep one fit on that surface. Its not deep enough that they get anything out of their works, kinda like Philly Park.
I'm always real leery of taking a short price on a horse off a switch like this. He looks so very logical, but at that price the race is El Paso for me.