Quote:
Originally Posted by Easy Goer Otis
Just ran my mixes on the Marshua and Ft.Lauderdale stakes at GP:
MARSHUA
ALL simulations predict the favorite Parranda as the winner. He will be hard to beat.
FT LAUDERDALE
This projects as a more wide open race. I ran 14 mixes with numerous horses coming out on top:
#14 Protonico (5 times a simulated winner) 2-1 ML
#1 Silver Freak (5) 15-1
#2 Lochte (1) 6-1
#4 Howe Great (1) 15-1
#7 Grand Tito (1) 15-1
#11 Za Approval (1) 5-2
In this case, I am going to look very hard at Silver Freak, who at 15-1 pops out as the winner in just as many simulations as 2-1 Protonico. I will also consider the 2, 4, 7 in exotics or multi-race tickets.
Note that Silver Freak wins the simulation using the 2014 Ft Lauderdale mix, while Protonico wins using the 2013 Ft Lauderdale mix.
Cheers,
Otis
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Wouldn't it have been useful to exclude Protonico, who was an MTO? Also find it interesting that the software didn't point to the pretty clear horse to beat, and eventual winner, Mshawish.