It would actually be wonderful if we knew that the 1-2-3 tri's and exactas were overbet routinely to this degree. It would be an extremely powerful angle.
I'm sure someone must have looked at this in the past. It's so easy to do. You just look at the ROI for all exacta combos. If 1-2-3 is overbet enough by numbers players, it would stick out like a sore thumb (or, even more painfully, like a post that capitalizes the first letter of every word.)
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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