Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   SA - Race 8...Somethinaboutbetty (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8363)

PSH 01-01-2007 11:43 AM

Santa Anita - Race 5 on 1/1/07
 
Anyone see those works on Painted Shadow for his debut. I know Baffert likes to send them in the morning but he has a particular long string of works with a recent 1:10 and 3 for 6F and a back 58 and 2 from the gate....

I would assume that the word is out on this one .....

PSH

Scav 01-01-2007 11:53 AM

That is the type of horse that you single on the end of a pick three ticket, with the reasoning you have, will probably be 7/5, but the value will be in the pick threes because none knowing people will spread in that race

coltsfan 01-01-2007 11:54 AM

He's got Squeeze Now going as well. This horse has put together some decent works, but not quite as strong as Painted Shadow. What do you think, a little 1,2 for Baffert here?

2Hot4TV 01-01-2007 12:05 PM

Looks impressive. The only draw back is that he draws the last post with nobody in the post outside of him. There are others in the race that look like they can ran some too.

Luberon, but bad post again, but made a willing move in first start.

Speedy Jones, But trainer rarely has them ready ot win in the first start.

Choctaw Chief, Just sounds fast Solis / Headley

Squeeze Now, Hate it when Baffert has 2 horses with one being a single.

Come Over Again, Intresting possibility

DerbyCat 01-01-2007 12:28 PM

Can anyone explain what Stute is think by having Can This Be True run insane bullets (34.2 and 46.2) two days before he runs this horse? Didn't he notice that his horse tired last race after dueling for the lead? I guess I can understand doing that 4-5 days before a race but why TWO days before? Does anyone here believe that this is a good thing?

coltsfan 01-01-2007 12:49 PM

SA 7th
 
Areyoutalkintome is my play here. Fresh horse. May have 3 up front early. Bushwacker, Roi, and Proud Tower. Looking for Areyoutalkintome to sit right off here. Hopefully get 4/1 or 5/1. Harvard Avenue scares me.

2Hot4TV 01-01-2007 01:05 PM

I'm going to pound Proud tower Too. He's too good for these.

SniperSB23 01-01-2007 01:08 PM

I'm taking my shot on Roi. Hopefully his speed can hold up for 5.5 furlongs.

Gander 01-01-2007 01:09 PM

I think you really need to bet against horses like Proud Tower Too in this spot. If I thought he was too good for these, I would probably skip the race.
I may not bet this race because I am having trouble deciding between a couple of these. If I dont bet it, I will root for Proud Tower Too. Hes a very neat horse.

I think the odds will end up like this:

Proud Tower Too 9/5
Harvard Avenue 5/2
Areyoutalkingtome 7/2
Roi Charmant 6/1
Bushwacker 10/1
Premium Saltine 15/1
Red Warrior 15/1

coltsfan 01-01-2007 01:14 PM

Very well could be too good for these. But..... The pace will be super hot. He hasn't ran since March. If he get's out like I think, I don't see him holding up. Didn't see the race, so I may be way off here, but Areyou beat him in the CalCup last year and ran 3rd to him race after. I see Proud at 8/5 or lower. You give me 4 or 5/1 on Areyou, then I'm taking that. I'm afraid Harvard may just get both of them.

Gander 01-01-2007 01:17 PM

I dont see Proud Tower Too making the lead in here. For some reason I think Bushwacker gets it. Roi Charmant is fast too and he will be there.

Hot pace, I agree. I'd have to bet a closer in here.

SniperSB23 01-01-2007 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I dont see Proud Tower Too making the lead in here. For some reason I think Bushwacker gets it. Roi Charmant is fast too and he will be there.

Hot pace, I agree. I'd have to bet a closer in here.

Hot pace but a 5.5 furlong race at Santa Anita isn't a great spot for a closer. Bushwhacker is going to have to go faster early than he ever has if he is going to get ahead of Roi or even PTT.

TheSpyder 01-01-2007 02:43 PM

SA 6th
 
WHat do you make of the Brazilian and Chilian Horses in this race???? Grade Ones and all?? Does it mean anything? The 4 has some nice works>

Somebody tell me something......

Gander 01-01-2007 03:14 PM

SA Race 3
 
$220 win #1- Tug O War with Go Go
Should secure a nice inside stalking trip while the 6 blazes the way up front.

rock1968 01-01-2007 03:36 PM

Ouch!

Scav 01-01-2007 03:38 PM

You will have better luck if you thread your picks in other Santa anita threads. trust me, look at what I am doing at Calder today

SCUDSBROTHER 01-01-2007 03:39 PM

That ride looked familiar.

2Hot4TV 01-01-2007 03:42 PM

Hate to tell you guys that on Santa Anita's oval ( and alot of other tracks) when the good horses run 5 1/2 furlongs the finisher from off the pace wins and at 7f they steal it on the lead. Proud Tower will not make the lead till the last furlong.

2Hot4TV 01-01-2007 03:46 PM

Can we get a winner in the 4th with #12 Dynamatic ! Miglimore for his first win down the hill.

SCUDSBROTHER 01-01-2007 03:53 PM

I like Epic Power and Sherwood Park in that.Don't like Palma much.The Frankel would not surprise me,but seems like he would use Flores or Solis etc. if he was ready.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:11 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.