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-   -   12/22: CALDER (7th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8028)

Kasept 12-22-2006 05:05 AM

12/22: CALDER (7th-11th)
 
Lousy day all around at Chicago Thursday as slop produced scratches and some results unpredictable by me.. Quiet weekend on tap before Santa Anita opens (Tuesday) and Aqueduct resumes, but here's the late 5 from Calder Friday..


SELECTIONS -- CRC, 12/22 (R7-11) P3's, P4, DD (Superfectas in all..)

POST SCRATCHES/CHANGES...

7th: ALW/S, 3+, 1m (P3)

1. #6 Boston Fox 8-5: What a year WON $4.00 $3.40 $2.10
2. #7 Irish Rogue 4-1: From JJ's Post Time Stables 4th
A. #3 Super Reviewer 3-1: ITM 36X in 58 Calder tries 3rd
B. #1 SCRATCHED Montford Ridge 8-1: Chestnut gelding by Montreal Red (!)


8th: MDN CLM, 2yo fillies, 1m (P4)

1. #6 Family Credit 4-1: Walder 31% off claim WON 3.80 2.40 2.40
2. #8 Cat Bin 4-1: Showed improved zip last
A. #4 SCRATCHED Tipsy Tune 10-1: OK versus MSW foes up north
B. #2 SCRATCHED Satira 2-1: Second last three starts


9th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3)

1. #3 Afleet Lulu 5-2: 0/15 this year; drops a tad and adds Eddie C. WON 4.00 2.40 2.10
2. #2 Go Dancing Go 4-1: T2D; Sprint to route; 3rd off break 2nd
3. #1 Comeongal 5-1: Board threat with return to race 2 back

$1 Pick 3 $46.80
$1 Ex $8.60



10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

1. #5 Chiara 5-1: Taking chance that Wolfson gets import right hard luck 2nd checking 2x and flipping behind gate before race!
2. #3 My Prefered 2-1: DiMauro red can stalk or go WON
3. #2 Thief in Style 4-1: Will try to steal it


11th: MDN CLM, 3-4yo, 1m-70y

1. #5 Band Together 2-1: Serpe gelding lays over if takes to strip WON 4.00 2.60 2.20
2. #7 Canyoudoonemore 3-1: 2nd Standridge ITM 11/26 this meet
A. #2 Kyle's Bear Claw 12-1: Bolted in debut but returned with bullet
B. #3 Chilly Carson 4-1: 4th Has look of career maiden but gets Cruz


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 6-8
9: 2-3
10: 2-3-5
11: 2-3-5-7

2x2x3x4 = $48

$1 Pick 4 $39.00


Good luck!
Steve

SentToStud 12-22-2006 08:39 AM

I'll throw mine up here. Like today's card a lot. Fast/Firm and before scratches/changes. I'll be posted up on the roof near the 1/16 pole if anyone's out there today.

Race 1
3 Abby Can Do
5 Get on Track

I'll bet Abby at 10-1+. 2nd off layoff and she's done more than nmost of these the past few months. RAce sets up for a midpack closer and she's it.

Race 2
1 Mouton
3 History of Saint
9 Broadway Bound
6 Mr Unstoppable

Also, 6, Mr Unstoppable to win at 20-1+.

Race 3
2 C Harold
4 Montcalm Street

2, C Harold to win at 8-1+. 2nd out, rail, drop out of a faster race when he started bad and two works. Bates skips a class and plunges him here and the rest are mostly proven stoppers.

Race 4
1 La Bella
8 Golden Celebrity
2 Leap in the Sun

Race 5
6 Naughty Nelda
1 Doble Show

Race 6
5 Untuttable Gal
2 Trasnsparency
3 Sing to the Sky

Also 5 Untuttable Gal to win at 6-1+. Bumbled around at the start and could go off at a very decent price cutting back slightly to a mile where she's run very well.

Race 7
3 Super Reviewer
7 Irish Rogue

Think B Fox gets stopped today as he was all out in a very hard run race coming back from a short layoff. Unbelieveable record at a mile but a couple new faces here and I expect Boston Fox will be too close to a quick pace here.


Race 8
8 Cat Bin
6 Family Credit

Race 9
6 Pago Island
3 Afleet Lulu

Also 6 PAgo Island to win at 4-1+.

Race 10
2 Thief in Style
5 Chiarra
4 Vicky

Playing against 3 My PReferred here with a 2-4-5 ExBx.

Race 11
2 Kyles Bear Claw
7 Canyoudoonemore
3 Chilly Carson

ExBx with these. Playing against this 4 YO NY shipper Band Together which ran a nothing 3rd at 35-1 on an off track on 11/16 while making his second lifetime start and hasn't worked since . His two lifetime sarts came 20 months apart. These kind usually go off at ridiculously short prices and it's not as if his trainer has set the world afire lately.

When in doubt, go with the Batman.

good luck...

Kasept 12-22-2006 04:14 PM

Wow.. always like hitting P4's and LOSING $9.. Yeesh.

philcski 12-22-2006 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Wow.. always like hitting P4's and LOSING $9.. Yeesh.

But I thought the average $1 P4 payoff is $3,000?? :p

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-22-2006 04:26 PM

your the man....still it pays what it pays..the next time it will be 1200..as allways great job byk

timmgirvan 12-22-2006 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
your the man....still it pays what it pays..the next time it will be 1200..as allways great job byk

Ditto! Steve: you lay it all out there and more often than not you help people cash tix...super job....super guy!!

Kasept 12-22-2006 06:37 PM

Hooves/Timm,

Thanks guys.. Appreciate it. Needed just one of the others to win to boost that 4 price to at least palatable... Losing $9 is better than losing $48...

point given 12-22-2006 09:28 PM

at least you only lost $9
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Wow.. always like hitting P4's and LOSING $9.. Yeesh.

I took a stand against #3 in the 10th with the 4 and 5 as it looked like plenty of early inside speed. Wrongo, as Trujillo saw it and smartly
took the 3 back. $36 loss to a $39 P4, UGLY !
BTW, it is pretty sad at Calder these days, voices echo in the stands and plenty of room at the paddock rail, wasn't like this even a couple of years ago. :(


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