Derby Trail Forums - 12/27: Aqueduct (7th-11; X-C P5); Oaklawn (7th-10th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Saratoga Party 2-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Three Sixty 6-1 WON ($16.72)
Next Best: #4 Cara Fiore 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Baffle 8-1 2nd

8th: Queens County, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Kinetic 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Bourbon Day 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Full Screen 2-1 WON ($3.64)
Super Add: #5 Film Star 12-1 5th

9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Moe Eighty Eight has to avoid a regression, but he was spectacular returning to dirt last out. And note that there's not a lot of pace signed on..

Most Likely: #8 Moe Eighty Eight 1-1 WON ($2.86)
Next Best: #5 Alan Turing 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Beary Funny 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Looms Boldly 8-1 -

10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Be You 2-1 WON-Up via DQ ($3.76)
Best Value: #5 Eliminate 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Emirates Road 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 Donegal Surges 5-1 2nd-DQ'd from WIN

Cross Country P5 Grid:

AQ 10: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQ 11: 3-12 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
OP 7: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 8: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Favored Last Man Standing is ordinary..

Most Likely: #12 The Boondocker 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Diabolico 12-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Last Man Standing 5-2 WON ($4.92)
Exotics Use: #4 Whitby 8-1 5th

P5 Grid:

7: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-12 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x3x4 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-5 in 9th)

$0.50 Late P5 (3/2,4/4,8/1,3,6,8/8-10) Paid $162.28

P4 Grid:

8: 1-3-4 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-12 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x4 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $36 (3-5 in 9th)

$0.50 P4 (2,4/4,8/1,3,6,8/8-10) Paid $7.47

OAKLAWN

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

A number of fancy fillies run for first time here..

Most Likely: #7 French Friction 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #8 Joke Maker 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Black Magic River 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 My Gun's Loaded 7-2 8th

8th: Years End, 2yo-F, 1m ($3 Get Out P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Copper Wind 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Counting Stars 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: 3 Scot's Law 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Paving 5-2 3rd

$3 P3 Grid:

8: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-10 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4 = 24 x $3 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2 = 8 x $3 = $24

9th: MDN/OC-$, 2yo-F, 6f ($5 Late DBL)

Best Value: #10 Huck's Agenda 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Killa Sally 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Legal Lightening 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Army's Marauder 15-1 2nd

$5 DBL Grid:

9: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4 = 12 x $5 = $60
All A's: 3x2 = 6 x $5 = $30

10th: OC/S-ALW, 2yo, 1m

Best Value: #1 Herbs Bolt 6-1 WON ($20.00)
Next Best: #7 Horse of the Sea 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 French Knight 8-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Perfect Audible 12-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

7: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)
8: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-3-10 in 7th)

Let's get lucky!
Steve