9/19-20: Presque (6th-10th; DBL/P4); Parx (8th-15th)
 

PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Debutante, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Smooch Up 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #7 A Song to Remember 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Peach Tie 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Kontiki 9-5 4th


7th: Fitz Dixon, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Live Stream 10-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #9 Mo Dodgy 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Jes See Me 9-2 4th
Super Add: #4 A Million Dreams 8-1 3rd


8th: Presque Isle Mile, 3+, 1m (2-day Penn P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Twilight Dancer 10-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Encino 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #2 The Wine Steward 5-1 6th
Super Add: #1 He's a Mess 10-1 7th


Penn P4 Grid:

PID 8: 4-10 (A), 1-2-7 (B), - (C)
PID 9: 6 (A), - (B), 7-11 (C)
PRX 13: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
PRX 14: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), 1-3-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x8 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x3x5 = 60 x .50 = $30 (7-11 in 9th)


9th: Presque Isle Masters (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (Keystone DBL, DD)

If it's not Pandora's Gift, who is tactical and a couple lengths better than everyone on figs, it could be any of the next 8-9.. Might as well lean heavily on her..

Best Value: #6 PANDORA'S GIFT 5-1 11th
Next Best: #11 Ellen Jay 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Candy Reward 9-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Elysian Field 6-1 7th


Keystone DBL (Masters/Derby) Grid:

PID 9: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
PRX 14: 6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-10 (C)

All A's: 1x4 = 4 x $10 = $40
Backup (AC): 1x4 x $4 = $16


10th: ALW/C, 3+, 6.5f

Tricky, competitive nightcap.. Kate Demasi is very good placing runners on the synth and Kalahari is turning back from career best on turf last..

Best Value: #5 Kalahari Not Sorry Late SCR
Next Best: #7 Thoughtthatcounts 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Goldentown 7-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Thunderian 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-10 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
9: 9-11 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 5/SCR-7 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-10 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
9: 9-11 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
10: 5/SCR-7 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-10 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

This was legit heartbreaking.. Talked both Clements in the Masters all week and then used Elysian Field instead of Gal in a Rush.. P5 paid a crazy $10,230, P4 $1,923.. Misread the Mile going deep when it wasn't necessary.

PARX ~ DERBY/COTILLION DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Big Air 8-1
Next Best: #6 Taliesin 2-1
Exotics Use: #2 Missy Sixtysix 9-2
Super Add: #5 Voodoo Do You 5-1


9th: Greenwood Cup (G3), 3+, 12f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 No Bien Ni Mal 2-1
Best Value: #6 Repo Rocks 4-1
Next Best: #1 Digital Ops 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Calibrate 3-1


10th: Liberty Bell, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Mystic Lake 2-1
Next Best: #7 Carmelina 5-2
Best Value: #3 Bella Queen 20-1
Exotics Use: #1 All Class 5-1


11th: Parx Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (Must Pay .50 Philly Big 5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Far Mo Power 9-2
Best Value: #5 Catalytic 5-1
Next Best: #8 Coastal Mission 3-1
Exotics Use: #4 Dilger 4-1


P4 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


12th: Gallant Bob (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Barnes 2-1
Best Value: #1 Retribution 5-1
Next Best: #10 Neoequos 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Mad House 6-1


13th: Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Feels like the price you want is local prep winner Dry Powder, who only need repeat her outside stalking effort in the Cathryn Sophia, and the one to stand against is La Cara, who just isn't as fast as the other pressure-applying speeds..

Best Value: #8 Dry Powder 10-1
Next Best: #7 Good Cheer 5-2
Exotics Use: #1 Scottish Lassie 9-5
Super Add: #3 Clicquot 8-1


P4 Grid:

10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 7-8 (A), 1-2-3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup ():


14th: Pennsylvania Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Yes, Baeza, Goal Oriented and Gosger have kept the best company through the Crown and Summer Standards, but So Sandy, David of Athens and Big Truzz have quietly moved within range of those favorites and appear poised for breakthroughs..

Best Value: #7 Big Truzz 10-1
Next Best: #8 Baeza 2-1
Exotics Use: #4 David of Athens 12-1
Super Add: #6 Goal Oriented 5-2


15th: Parx Sprint, 4+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #9 Buccherino 4-1
Next Best: #1 Full Moon Madness 7-2
Best Value: #8 Caramel Chip 10-1
Exotics Use: #11 Damon's Mound 3-2


MUST PAY .50 Philly Big P5 Grid:

11: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 7-8 (A), 1-2-3 (B), - (C)
14: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
15: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x2x5x1 = 60 x .50 = $30


P4 Grid:

12: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 1-7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
14: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
15: 9 (A), 1 (B), 8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 2x3x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x5x2 = 60 x .50 = $30


Let's get lucky!
Steve