Derby Trail Forums - 9/4: Kentucky Downs (Day 4)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Jirah 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Mister Punch 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Jet Off 8-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Carson Street 4-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 12.5F (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 MILDRED PIERCE 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Weighted Average 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Unmerited Favor 6-1 WON ($8.38)
Super Add: #2 Mendee 8-1 3rd

3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1M (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Move to Gold 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Winnebago 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Askari 15-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Concord Green 10-1 8th

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 12F (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Common Defense 4-1 WON ($5.04)
Next Best: #7 Time Song 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Fort Thomas 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 My Boy Tony 6-1 7th

5th: MSW, 2YO-F, 1M (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Paris Twilight 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #4 Market Chill 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 R Slew of Cash 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Lotta Alpha 8-1 9th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-8 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
2: 8 (A), 11 (B), 4 (C)
3: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x1x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4 in 2nd)

P4 Grid:

2: 8 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 3-7 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C)
5: 1-2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4 = 72 x .50 = $96
All A's: 1x3x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 1x3x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (8-10 in 4th)

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 12.5F (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Heart Spin 30-1 6th
Next Best: #15 Tarneema 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Massarat 7-2 WON ($5.76)
Super Add: #4 Cha Cha Chukka 9-2 4th

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: ---------------
Best Value: #7 Landed 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Mo Fox Given 8-1 WON ($25.02)
Exotics Use: #5 Waskesui 2-1 DNF-Lost rider

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Mischievous Rouge 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 We're in Trouble 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Script 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #10 Bergen 4-1 2nd

Middle P5 Grid:

4: 3-7 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 5-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: X (A), 7 (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x4x2x1x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x4x2x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (8-10 in 8th)

9th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pharoah's Wine 8-1 WON ($7.42)
Next Best: #5 Vive Veuve 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Grayosh 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Waves of Mischief 8-1 7th

10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 12f (DD)

Best Value: #7 Presider 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 British Isles 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Mutaawid 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Cyber Ninja 8-1 7th

11th: MSW-$, 2yo, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Master Chief Mike 4-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Maginnesontap 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Final War 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Honey Dutch 10-1 WON ($23.08)
Super/Hi-5: #12 Vitruvian Man 8-1 5th

P5 Grid:

7: 15 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 2-11 (B), - (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 2-11 (B), - (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 10 (B), 7-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-12 in 11th)

Let's get lucky!
Steve