Derby Trail Forums - 8/10: Saratoga (4th-10th)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Here's Johnny 3-1: 2nd World Beater half gets to the lawn..
Best Value: #1 Golden Rule 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Boss Henry 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Final Score 5-2 WON ($5.60)

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Memorized 3-1: 4th Half to Zandon, but works just so-so..
Best Value: #5 Essential Coffee 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 So Vain 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Lovely Christina 9-2 2nd

6th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Arch's Assault 5-1: 4th Been best turf routing and lures Prat today..
Best Value: #8 Sunshine Dancer 20-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Spirit of the Law 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Make Your Moment 6-1 5th

7th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Valentine Gift 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 My Two Sophia's 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Five to Two 9-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Dashing Della 10-1 9th

P4 Grid:

4: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x1x4 = $36 ($18 for .50)

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P3, DD)

Bruce Brown poised for potentially big day w/ Ragazzo d'Oro in the 6th and American Grant, a last out ALW winner in the 8th. Commissioner gelding showed improved positional speed with @RSantana_Jr downstate and should enjoy a similar trip today at nice number..

Best Value: #3 American Grant 10-1 5th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #6 Russian Realm 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Conman 2-1 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #1 Slapintheface 5-1 2nd

9th: Mahony (G3), 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #7 Ancient World 10-1: 6th Sharp runners demanding extra consideration..
Next Best: #9 Governor Sam 1-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Spiced Up 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #3 Saturday Flirt SCR

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f

Treacherous finale with many talented types in various form cycles..

Most Likely: #2 Classicist SCR
Next Best: #7 Chileno 6-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Tuscan Gold 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Hope Sing 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), 3-10-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 + $18 (5-8 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 3-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 + $18 (3-10-11 in 10th)

Let's get lucky!
Steve