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-   -   8/3: Saratoga (Day 19; Troy) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74724)

Kasept 08-03-2025 05:34 AM

8/3: Saratoga (Day 19; Troy)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ADK (G3), 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Might not mean anything, but it took Mythical a month to return to the worktab after the big fig Tremont win..

Most Likely: #1 Mythical 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Spa Prospector 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Tiz in Sight 8-1 4th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Very nice group of maidens. Surprising that several here are winless..

Most Likely: #6 Cliffs 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #7 Hello Beauty 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Channel Check 6-1 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Louise Procter 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Vino Rouge 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #4 Can't Fool Me 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Collaboration 4-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

The most interesting race of the day. No Super combo would be a surprise..

Most Likely: #1 Midland Money 7-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #4 G T Five Hundred 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Vettriano 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Aggelos the Great 4-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-3-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x5 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 1x3x2x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,6/6/6/1,5) Paid $35.12 (A-A-A-A)


8th: Troy (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Let My People Go 10-1 6th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #3 Bring Theband Back 3-5 WON ($3.30) ~ BEAT BYK
Exotics Use: #4 Alogon 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Determined Kingdom 15-1 3th


9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

One of many inscrutable races on the card..

Best Value: #7 Willintoriskitall 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Back in the Saddle 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Goldfarb Ownership entry 2-1 WON ($6.80)/4th
Super Add: #9 Desperate Proposal 7-2 7th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #7 Gatsby 9-5 6th
Next Best: #10 Camp David 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #5 Funny Joke Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Tetsu 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-4-8 in 7th)

$0.50 Late P5 (6/1,5/3,8/1/10) Paid $313.75 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-4 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7-10 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x4 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-6 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/3,8/1/10) Paid $53.25 (A-A-A-A)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

moses 08-03-2025 07:27 AM

Steve, good luck. Check Race 5 and Race 6 because I think you have them swapped.

Kasept 08-03-2025 10:08 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

atolunch 08-03-2025 05:35 PM

Congrats and thanks again as always!

Way to wrap up an amazing week of capping.:$::tro::$:

moses 08-03-2025 05:43 PM

Nice job Steve.

I punched a Pick 5 ticket this morning that would have hit then overthought Race 6 and tossed Vino Rouge. That was dumb. Hit every other leg. :zz:

Glad you and others could cash.


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