8/2: Saratoga (Whitney Day)
 

SARATOGA ~ WHITNEY DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tagermeen 7-2: Big boy a beaten fave in debut, matched with Obliteration since.. 4th
Next Best: #5 Blinging It Back 2-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Criteria 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e Spendthrift Ownership Entry 3-1 WON ($9.60)/5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Babies long on the grass with lots of nice pedigrees. Bit of a crapshoot..

Most Likely: #2 Signatory Man 9-2: Walsh stretchout matching strides with New Century in morning.. 6th
Best Value: #1 Sunrise 10-1: Pletcher FTS a full to SW's Spendarella and Spanish Loveaffair.. 4th
Next Best: #4 Prodiguous 4-1: Clement unveils half to Emmanuel.. 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Orbit: Casse's DJ Stable home bred has advantage of an (off turf) start.. 3rd


3rd: Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Field is at 4 after Comport opted for next week's ELP Juvenile and the tragic circumstance that claimed Dazzle d'Oro..

Most Likely: #6 Obliteration 2nd
Next Best: #1 Ewing WON ($5.40)


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Xy Speed 9-2: Lerman's 9yo continues to hold form; Should sit trip under Irad.. 8th
Next Best: #4 Clear the Air 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Final Verdict 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Run Curtis Run 5-1 WON ($7.50)


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Delightful Claire 6-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #4 Lost and Found 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 My Sherrona 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Endorse 5-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
3: 6 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
4: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-7 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
3: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-7 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed with Sid Fernando, highly anticipated group of fillies including $1.1MM Timonium buy Ornellaia (Chad/Amo) and a host of other tony pedigreed types..

Best Value: #8 Immaculate Moon 10-1: Gargan McKinzie miss will be half the ML based on worktab buzz.. 4th
Next Best: #2 Cadenza 5-1: Productive mare and Charlatan FTS are 2 of 8 so far.. 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Ornellaia 7-2: On a big day, expect Chad to have pricey gal ready for good debut.. WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #1e Spendthrift Ownership entry 3-1: #1a Solemn Vow a $350k half to Prince of Monaco.. 2nd/7th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Half this field can win.. At least half!

Best Value: #3 Echo Again 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Dilger 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Speak Easy 10-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Pentathlon 10-1 5th


P4 Grid:

4: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-7 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
6: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-7-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1-7-10-11 in 7th)


8th: Fourstardave (G1), 4+, 1m-Inner ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Outstanding edition of this important mile test with notable Eastern visit from the imposing Johannes for his 5yo debut. Respect for sure, but there are many with chances signed on at value pricing..

Most Likely: #7 Spirit of St Louis 6-1: Back to 1m (4/3-0-0) and chance to get hard-hitting NY-bred at a decent number.. 8th
Next Best: #3 Johannes 5-2 9th
Best Value: #9 Lagynos 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Think Big 6-1 5th


9th: Saratoga Derby (G1), 3yo, 9.5f-T (Retail Only Late P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Might simply boil down to the Euro-US confrontation of Hotazhell v. Test Score, but there are others

Most Likely: #7 Hotazhell 7-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Test Score 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 World Beater 10-1 WON ($24.40)
Exotics Use: #6 New Century 5-1 6th


10th: Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Liely: #2 Kilwin 6-1: "Other" Rusty very viable in best filly sprint annually.. WON ($14.40) ~ BEAT BYK
Best Value: #3 Look Forward 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Echo Sound 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Cash Call 5-1 5th


11th: Whitney (G1), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Highland Falls 8-1: JCGC winner returns to Spa and his "A" race a fit today at square number.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sierra Leone 2-1: Sure to get honest pace for his big closing kick.. WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #9 Fierceness 9-5: Don't hold Wilson chute Met Mile against SAR loving Repole home bred.. 5th
Super Add: #10 Post Time 12-1: Always runs his race.. 6th


Must Pay P5 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-9-10-11 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 4x2x1x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 (1-9-10-11 in 7th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Steve, good calls on Kilwin and Delightful Claire.

THX Mose.. Couldn't connect on the P-X's but was very pleased with those winners as well as Highland Falls.. I didn't use World Beater properly, but was glad I included in print and talked him up on air.. Challenging, fun day. Hope everyone got something!