8/1: Saratoga (Hall of Fame Day)
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Those that have run feel like the right approach with the Chad pair the apparent firsters requiring attention..

Best Value: #9 Connect the Stars 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Blue Madame 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1e Repole Entry 8-1 3rd/5th
Super Add: #6 Grazie Prego 12-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Oddly, almost no pace on here..

Most Likely: #6 Kadena 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Twirling Good Time 3-1 4th
Next Best: #2 She's Complicated 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Fortuna Mia 9-5 WON ($5.50)


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Turf Star 7-2: Motion/Calumet by Caravaggio a half to Lake george heroine Daisy Flyer.. 2nd
Best Value: #1 Freestate 10-1: Another Caravaggio; Adam Rice owns crazy 2nd time out numbers.. 6th
Next Best: #6 Intricate Spirit 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Mount Sopris 12-1 4th


7th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Top Pair a cut above the rest, though note Clever Again (AmPharoah o/o a Galileo mare) makes move to lawn and could be a different horse on the green..

Most Likely: #7 Zulu Kingdom 6-5 4th-DQ'd from WIN
Next Best: #2 Luther 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #1 Mi Bago 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Clever Again 6-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
6: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), 2 (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (CAAA): 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (1-2-10 in 4th)


8th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Sanzio 15-1: Drops while adding hood and Lasix.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Omaha Pistol 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Come Full Circle 12-1 WON ($17.40)
Super Add: #5 Aetherium 15-1 11th


9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 5,.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #6 Fluid Situation 6-1 8th
Next Best: #1e Flying P Ownership entry 8-5 WON ($4.00)/7th
Exotics Use: #10 Chiringo 4-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Cloudy 6-1 4th


10th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

Most Likely: #4 Life Advice 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Competitive Threat 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Loveumissumeanit 8-1 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Leslie's Star 7-2 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 2-12 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), 1 (B), 8-10 (C)
10: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 7th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (6/2/9/1,2,11/6) Paid $2,641.75


P4 Grid:

7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 2-12 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-5 in 7th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/9/1,2,11/6) Paid $432.25


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Scratches & Changes

1 #4 Imperia Blue Scratched @ 10:09 AM

2 #6 Awesome Aaron Scratched @ 10:09 AM
#7 Disarm Scratched @ 10:09 AM
#8 Film Star Scratched @ 10:09 AM

4 #2 Americathegreat Scratched @ 10:10 AM
#8 Tax Holiday (GB) Scratched @ 10:10 AM
#10 The Grumpy Rabbit Scratched @ 10:10 AM
#11 So Vain Scratched @ 10:10 AM

6 #4 Schwarzenegger Scratched @ 10:10 AM
#10 Oscar's Hope Scratched @ 10:10 AM

7 #4 Maui Strong Scratched @ 10:11 AM
#6 Out On Bail Scratched @ 10:11 AM
#9 McAfee Scratched @ 10:11 AM

8 #1 American Litigator Scratched @ 10:12 AM

9 #2 Outlaw Country Scratched @ 10:12 AM
#11 Kunshan Bridge Scratched @ 10:12 AM

10 #2 Queen Atlas Scratched @ 10:13 AM
#9 Aviso Scratched @ 10:13 AM
#11 Best Impression Scratched @ 10:13 AM

Good luck Steve.

Mi Bago is not my type of horse but notable he’ll be running on firm turf for the first time in 5 starts. His 3 turf wins all came on firm footing. It would not be shocking to see him outrun his odds. His primary pace pressure is expected to come from a horse that’s never run on turf and Tank, a horse who has never demonstrated he’s fast enough to pressure Mi Bago. I’d be surprised if Zulu Kingdom tries to apply any pressure early, though he may be forced to if the others don’t.

Personally, I think the pace will heat up but not impossible to envision a scenario where Mi Bago gets loose on the lead.

:zz: How did the 7 not even hold 2nd in the 9th

I had him in all my horizontals. I thought he was golden! Ugh.

Phuck yeah!

Unbelievable job of capping today!!

Boom goes the dynamite.

Congrats and thanks as always:tro::$::$:

THX Larry.. That was a lot of fun. Jamie Begg is rolling. Hope many benefited.

Particularly happy for our Platinum Tier Secret Door subscribers who received the 4 Star GOLD Elite Analysis Package today by joining the season long Speakeasy Club available for the introductory price! Still time to sign up!

awesome opinions today Steve!! Congrats!!

Well done Steve

Good stuff again Steve!

Thx guys. Really pleased races stayed on turf today and with the outcome. Let’s get them again tomorrow!

Nice:tro: Job Steve

THX Jim! One of those afternoons where it was less about picking winners ("on top") and more about surviving legs (Steve Crist style). My handicap is typically better than my ticket building, but this was a ticket building hit. Wish I could do that more often.