7/13: Saratoga (Day 4; Quick Call) ~ OFF TURF EXC. STK
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sugar Run 3rd
Best Value: #9 Rafu Jawa 8th
Next Best: #5 Cleopatra's Key 2nd
Exotics Use: #14 Yankee Doodle 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Paxsational 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #2 Swifty Devil 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Amundson 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Meet Me At Mundi's 12-1 7th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Golden Rule 7th
Next Best: #4 Malus WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Heeere's Johnny 5th
Super Add: #9 Glorious Boy 4th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely #15 Leo's Reward 6th
Best Value: #9 Van Vollenhoven 2nd
Next Best: #16 Refuah 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 Just Licorice WON ($20.20)


P4 Grid:

4: 4-9 (A), 5-14 (B), - (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
6: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 9-15 (A), - (B), 14-16 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (14-16 in 7th)


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Gone and Forgotten 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #3 Maggie T 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Intermittent Fast 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Floge 6-1 6th


9th: Quick Call (G3), 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

BEAT BYK (Week 1): https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Best Value: #1 Jet Sweep Joe 8-1 5th ~ Capital OTB/Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Governor Sam 6-5 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Supersonic Blue 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 No Evidence 4-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF

Best Value: #2 Vino Samara WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #3 Wild Mischief 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Calling an Audible 4th
Super Add: #15 Sabby Sunset 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 9-15 (A), 14-16 (B), - (C)
8: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 2 (B), 5 (C)
10: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5 in 9th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/14/9/2,3,8/2) Paid $767.00


P4 Grid:

7: 9-15 (A), 14-16 (B), - (C)
8: 3-9 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-7 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (14/9/2,3,8/2) Paid $176.25


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Good stuff Steve. Looking back I’m not sure why I didn’t like Malus, should’ve looked back after I saw you had him as an include. Luckily was able to string some stuff together later but cost myself a decent paying pretty easy (imo) pick 5 - glad to come back to see you had it.

Nice work Steve!

Thanks guys. That was a good way to end the week. Agree that the sequence was very approachable. You can piss/moan about races coming off or look at the opportunity as presented. Hope many benefited!