Derby Trail Forums - 1/18: Aqueduct/Oaklawn (X-C P5); Fair Grounds (5th-12th)

AQUEDUCT/OAKLAWN CROSS COUNTRY P5

POST-SCRATCHES

AQUEDUCT 7th (3:10pm ET): ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (X-C P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Quick to Accuse 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Silo Ridge 6-1 11th
Next Best: #1e Reeves Ownership entry 3-1 WON/2nd ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Printrack 6-1 4th

OAKLAWN 5th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 League of Legends 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 King Anthony 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Fort Warren 5-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Feathers Road 15-1 10th

AQUEDUCT 8th: Busanda, 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ramify 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Ruth 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Sharp Smile 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 My Sherrona 9-2 2nd

OAKLAWN 6th: MDN/OC-$, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Pride's Prince 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Magic Mover 5-2 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Silver Falcon 15-1 11th
Super Add: #5 Putting Eagle 4-1 2nd

OAKLAWN 7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Gunoe 9-5 10th
Best Value: #6 Mumayaz 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Onthestage 8-1 WON ($29.40)
Exotics Use: #11 I'm McDreamy 10-1 6th

$1 EXA (8/6) $247.00

P5 Grid:

A: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
B: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
C: 1-3-6 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
D: 1-10 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
E: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x2x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-5 in OP 6)

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: LA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pair of Socks 7-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #12 Jus Surprise Me 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Hard Line 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 V Cut 30-1 8th

6th: Douglas Kenner, 4+, 5.5f-OFF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Kavod WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #7 Uncashed 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Over and Ollie 2nd
Super Add: #11 Bear River 7th

7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Yinzer 9-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Doroteo 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Hypnus 10-1 WON ($34.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Cromwell 9-2 2nd

$1 EXA (6/7) $76.20
$1 TRI (6/7/5) $350.50

8th: Marie Krantz Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-OFF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cupid's Crush 2nd
Next Best: #11 Tryinmyheartout 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Stir Crazy WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #8 Champagne Rose 7th

P4 Grid:

5: 5
6: 3-7-10
7: 1
8: 1-11

All A's: 1x3x1x2 = 6 x $4 = $24

9th: Silverbulletday, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Chasten 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Simply Joking 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Golden Gamble 7-2 4th

10th: Col. E.R. Bradley, 4+, 8.5f-OFF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Money Supply 3rd
Next Best: #4 Duke of Carthania 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Gigante WON ($3.80)

11th: Louisiana (G3), 4+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Hit Show 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #5 Skinner 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Maycocks Bay 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Komorebino Omoide 8-1 2nd

12th Lecomte (G3), 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #13 Built 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Calling Card 12-1 -
Next Best: #4 Magnitude 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Tough Catch 10-1 -

P5 Grid:

8: 1-3-11
9: 1-3
10: 4-7-12
11: 1-5-10
12: 7-13

All A's: 3x2x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54

P4 Grid:

9: 1-3
10: 4-7-12
11: 1-5-10
12: 7-13

All A's: 2x3x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)

Let's get lucky!
Steve