Derby Trail Forums - 1/4: Aqueduct (P6 C/O); Gulfstream (STK DD), Oaklawn (Late P4)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Irksome start to $18k P6 C/O sequence..

Best Value: #4 Alcala 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Valiant Majesty 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Top of the Table 9-2 WON ($6.50)
Super Add: #3 First Class Cat 5-2 2nd

5th: MY-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky MDN group..

Best Value: #6 Runamor 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Roofer 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Outsource 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Tap It Easy 2-1 7th

6th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

2nd division of murky MDN group..

Most Likely: #1 Magni 4-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Sunday Gilt 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #9 Have a Cigar 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Trinity River 5-2 5th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Evaluation 9-5 6th
Next Best: #7 Nolita 6-1 WON ($17.60)
Best Value: #6 Annieworkstoomuch 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Embraceable Gal 7-2 3rd

8th: Jerome, 3yo, 1m (DD)

Like most of today's 3yo events (Jerome, Smarty Jones, Mucho Macho Man, San Vicente), an assembly of solid sophomores. With McAfee out, Omaha Omaha might not be as big a value as 8-1 offered, but he's the right horse to key..

Best Value: #4 Omaha Omaha 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Studlydoright 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Cyclone State 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Super Add: #2 Mansetti 10-1 5th

Cross Country P5 Grid (3:39pm ET):

AQ 8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C) ~ Jerome
OP 6: 2-4-8 (A), 6-7-10 (B), - (C)
AQ 9: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 7: 7 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Mockingbird
OP 9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C) ~ Smarty Jones

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-6 in AQU 8th)

9th: CLM, 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #6 That's Money 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #1 Collect From Ike 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Thank You Jon 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Devil's Cay 10-1 2nd

P6 Grid:

4: 4-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
5: 3-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), 1 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x2x2 = $128
All A's: 2x4x1x2x2x1 = $32
Backup (AAAAAC): 2x4x1x2x2x1 = $32 (8 in 9th)

P5 Grid:

5: 3-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x2x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAAA): 4x2x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (8-9 in 6th)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/7/6/3,5,6) Paid $235.75 (A-A-A-A)

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Lucency 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Lat Long 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Silver Heist 10-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Big City 5-2 2nd

7th: Mockingbird, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Shisospicy 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 G W's Girl 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Best Value: #4 Helen's Revenge 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Chatter 9-2 3rd

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Attache 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Great Richie M 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Willie Bird 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Gunflash 4-1 4th

9th: Smarty Jones, 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Kale's Angel has to transition to 2 turns on dirt today, but he's fast, doesn't need the lead to be successful and starts out as 2nd choice. Miller out of the gate fast at Hot Springs (6/3-1-1)..

Most Likely: #1 Kale's Angel 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Mo Quality 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Hot Property 8-5 5th
Super Add: #8 Coal Battle 9-2 WON ($11.00)

10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f

Best Value: #7 Hoodlum 12-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Lambeth 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Sir Greylind 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #2 King Russell 6-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 1-5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 1x4x2x2 = 16 x.50 =$8

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

10th: Mucho Macho Man, 3yo, 1m (DD)

No stars yet among this group, but several solid juveniles appear poised for next step. Third choice Cool Intentions (9-2) is the horse to beat having broken MDN here at the trio and coming off a 'faster then looks' and facile 7f ALW. Guns Loaded impressed breaking MDN at CD and 'first time Chad' Septarian quietly comes in 2/2 juvy campaign at Charles Town & Laurel..

Best Value: #5 Cool Intentions 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Guns Loaded 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Septarian 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Treaty of Rome 12-1 2nd

11th: Ginger Brew, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Really good group and hopefully a bellwether for an exciting 3yo Filly Grass Division..

Best Value: #6 Disco Star 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Nitrogen 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Correto 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Love Cervere 10-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #12 Long Good Cry 8-1 9th

Let's get lucky!
Steve