Derby Trail Forums - 9/7: KY Downs (6th-12th); Colonial (6th-10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Ladies Marathon (G3), F&M-3+, 12.5-T (P5, P3, DD)

[Smallest field of the day, but 2 Euros add intrigue..

Best Value: #7 Neecie Marie 4-1 WON ($10.02)
Next Best: #6 Vergara 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Chop Chop 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Greenfinch 3-1 4th

7th: Music City (G2), 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Really competitive and complication is that 2 long prices (Crown Imperial-30/1, Pharoah's Wine-20/1) won here at 2. Buttercream Babe (9/2) broke MDN here as well, upon debut no less..

Most Likely: #2 Kairyu 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Pharoah's Wine 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Buttercream Babe 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Simply in Front 15-1 WON ($14.62)

8th: Mint Millions (G3), 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Honest pace should give rise to stalker-closer impact..

Best Value: #1 Emmanuel 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Ancient Rome 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Talk of the Nation 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Funtastic Again 5-1 9th

9th: Franklin-Simpson (G1), 3yo, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another where the speed should keep it honest. Feels like you want a turn back type as opposed to the 5.5f types that are stretching to 6.5f..

Most Likely: #8 Please Advise 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Mansa Musa 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Vote No 20-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Yellow Card 15-1 2nd

10th: Turf Cup (G2), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Highway Robber 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Get Smokin 12-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Chief Little Rock Paddock SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Integration 8-5 4th

P4 Grid:

7: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

11th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f-T (DD)

Gear Jockey is now 7, has been away since BCup and may need one, but if Rusty Arnold entered him, he's likely to run well and he's been great over this course. Cogburn way the horse to beat, but he's an unknown here

Most Likely: #4 Cogburn 6-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #1 Gear Jockey 30-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Khaadem 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 One Timer 8-1 6th

COLONIAL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Rosies, 2yo, 5.5f-T (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Governor Sam 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #11 Out On Bail 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Curahee 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Fire Pit 5-1 5th

7th: Kittens Joy, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Trevaggio 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Thrilla 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Siesta Key 6-1 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #6 Meistersinger 12-1 6th

8th: Da Hoss, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Isivunguvungu 8-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Sweet Cherry Pie 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Dream Shake 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Nothing Better 4-1 2nd

9th: Virginia Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Deep Satin 5-1 WON-DH ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Aspen Dawn 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Oncourtcommentator 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Awesome Czech 10-1 4th

10th: Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Zverev 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Grand Mo the First 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Deterministic 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #9 Echo Lane 15-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x1x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

$0.50 PICK FIVE (2,3,6,10/3,8,10,11/1,3-5,7,10,13/1,7,9-11/1,3,6,10) PAID $70.70

P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 PICK FOUR (3,8,10,11/1,3-5,7,10,13/1,7,9-11/1,3,6,10) PAID $26.10

Good luck!
Steve