Derby Trail Forums - 8/1: Saratoga ~ Day 16 (Glens Falls; $57k P6 C/O)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Caldo Candy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Zeebear 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Key Point 5-2 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Jak N Burny 3-1 2nd

5th: NY-MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$57k P6 C/O starts here..

Tricky start to good, approachable carryover sequence..

Most Likely: #5 Dancing Liana 3-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Mary Union Ave 9-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Ariana Rye 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Good Mission 6-1 3rd

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 McDiesel WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #4 Richard Ave 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a Revivalism DNF-Heat exhaustion
Super Add: #12 Real Savvy 6th

7th: S/ALW, 4+, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Time for Rudy (0/29) to get off the shneid ~ and he has 2 shots with Rocco Strong and Complete Agenda..

Best Value: #8 Rocco Strong 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 On a Spree 2-1 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Exotics Use: #4 Mystic Night 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Complete Agenda 7-2 WON-Up via DQ ($16.20)

P4 Grid:

4: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x4x2 = $64 ($32 for .50)

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Competitive group with several in for the tag having cleared the condition, but Cicciobello (8-1) 2nd off long break going turf/dirt for Ryan while adding J. Ortiz from cozy Wilson inside..

Most Likely: #1 Cicciobello 8-1 5th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Best Value: #6 Six Percent 12-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Baldizar 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Curlin's Wisdom 15-1 10th

9th: Glens Falls (G2), F&M-4+, 12f-Inner (DD)

Not that scared of Eternal Hope (though addition of Prat is noteworthy), and expect a "CB" exacta. Royalty Interest has been matching strides with McKulick in the morning..

Best Value: #2 Royalty Interest 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 McKulick 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Atomic Blonde 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Chop Chop 5-2 3rd

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF

Most Likely: #1 Miss Lao 9-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #10 Hayes Bay 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #15 Welcome Back Babe 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #14 Malibu's Dynamite 8-1 5th

P6 Grid:

5: 1-4-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x2x1 = $96
All A's: 4x2x2x1x2x1 = $32
Backups (ACAAAA + AAAAAC): 4x2x2x1x2x1 = $32 (1-12 in 6th) + 4x2x2x1x2x1 = $32 (10 in 10th)

P5 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), 10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
8: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
10: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve