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-   -   Saratoga ~ Day 14 (Bowling Green) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=73685)

Kasept 07-28-2024 04:37 AM

Saratoga ~ Day 14 (Bowling Green)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Margot's Angel 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 My Shot 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Reliable Source 5-2 WON ($4.10)


2nd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 George's Vice 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Golden Dagger 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Try It Again 7-2 4th


3rd: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Killy Start 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Shesalittle Edgy 8 -5 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Goldcrest 5-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Fontanafredda 7-2 5th


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Punch the Clock 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Fancypants Juliana 7-2 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #5 A Thousand Plans 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Delightful Dixie 9-2 6th


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Standoutsensation Non-starter
Next Best: #4 Regulatory Risk DQ'd-Unplaced
Exotics Use: #2 Sweet Mystery 12-1 -
Super Add: #7 Sedona 2-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 7 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
2: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3/NS-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2 in 1st)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
5: 3/NS-4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (2 in 5th)


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Worktab identifies these as modest group, but Chad Brown does debut Stephanie Seymour-Brant's Opulent Restraint, a Dubawi home bred out of her early and top performing Significant Form..

Most Likely: #3 Opulent Restraint 2-1
Best Value: #4 Nanananabooboo 20-1
Next Best: #6 Good Long Cry 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Ravenite 12-1


7th: OC/Cond., 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Long-awaited seasonal debut of BC Turf Sprint ace Nobals. Meanwhile, SCR his talented stablemate One Timer, who goes in the Molaro Memorial at Hawthorne today..

Most Likely: #1 Nobals 4-5
Best Value: #3 Our Shot 10-1
Next Best: #8 No Nay Hudson 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Thin White Duke 15-1


P4 Grid:

4: 3-4-5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3/NS-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 5x3x1x3 = $45 ($22.50 for .50)


8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Angst-raising placed group of claimers that are ALL coming down in class..

Most Likely: #7 Blue Plate Special 6-1
Best Value: #10 South Street 8-1
Exotics Use: #2 Devil's Cay 7-2
Super Add: #4 For Some Reason 4-1


9th: Bowling Green (G2), 4+, 11f-Inner (DD)

Feels like you have to invent reasons to be against Silver Knott..

Most Likely: #2 Silver Knott 4-5
Best Value: #7 Strong Tide 15-1
Exotics Use: #1 Ohana Honor 7-2


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #1 Two's a Crowd 8-1 ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #8 Sonic Speed 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Laurel Valley 9-5
Super Add: #7 Slapintheface 3-1


P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-7-10 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-7-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x5x1x6 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 1x3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-7-10 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-8 (A), 3-6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x6 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x3x1x3 = 27 x .50 = $13.50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-28-2024 09:55 AM



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