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-   -   3/9: Tampa Bay Downs (5th-12th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=73307)

Kasept 03-09-2024 08:13 AM

3/9: Tampa Bay Downs (5th-12th)
 
TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Columbia, 3yo, 1m-T (All Stakes P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Fulmineo 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Move to Gold 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Two Ghosts 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Tok Tok 3-1 7th


8th: H'cap, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Sterling Silver 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #3 Dream Concert 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Easy Come Easy Go 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Lady Radler 6-1 6th


9th: Hillsborough (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Star Fortress 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Elusive Princess 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fluffy Socks 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Sparkle Blue 8-1 WON ($15.40)


10th: Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Absolutely wild assembly of fillies. Mix and match prices and take a big swing..

Most Likely: #10 Weight the Risks 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Destiny Star 8-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Poolside With Slim 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Dynamic Pricing 7-2 7th


11th: Tampa Bay Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Domestic Product 8-5 WON
Best Value: #10 Sturdy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 No More Time 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Grand Mo the First 12-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 1-8-10-11 (A), 5-6-7-12 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x8x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 1-8-10-11 (A), 5-6-7-12 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10 (A), - (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x8x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x4x1 = 16 x .50 = $8 (7 in 11th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,2,4,6/3/3,5/ALL) Paid $69.30 x 2 = $138.60



12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

CANCELLED

Most Likely: #3 Notinamillionyears 5-2
Next Best: #2 Startup Mentality 7-5
Exotics Use: #9 Sirius Light 10-1
Super Add: #5 Where's Emma 12-1


P4 Grid:

9: 7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 1-8-10 (A), 5-6-11 (B), 7-12 (C)
11: 5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: (CAAA) 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-3 in 9th); (ACAA) 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-12 in 10th)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 03-09-2024 08:59 AM

TAM SCR/CHG'S

moses 03-09-2024 09:44 AM

Good luck Steve.

Is there any word on this horse Good Money? Runner up from last time out came back to lose but put up an 89 Beyer. Chad doesn’t seem to jump horses from maiden to graded stakes unless he thinks they’re ready (although, maybe I am just remembering the success stories like Early Voting and Crowded Trade.) And now he gets Irad aboard. I’m thinking this one could run big, but doubtful he’ll be 15/1 thanks to Brown/Irad.


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