Derby Trail Forums - 9/3: Saratoga (Day 39; $251k P6 C/O)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Hammerin Aamer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Magnolia Midnight 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Durkin's Call 9-2 2nd/4th
Super Add: #2 Sprinklehead 12-1 5th (4th for mutuels)

5th: MSW-R, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$251k P6 C/O starts here..

Treacherous start to sequence..

Most Likely: #2 Cowes 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #10 Piccata Prince 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Nano Man 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Magic Beach 6-1 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Caitlinhergrtness 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Nikitis 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Genetics 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Alpine Princess 4-1 WON ($8.90)

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-Inner (P4, P3, DD))

Best Value: #3 Born a Gambler 8-1 5th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Ski Patrol 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1a Jarreau 3-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Empire Attraction 9-2 4th

P4 Grid:

4: 6-7 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
5: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-8 (C)
6: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Well-matched heat with 4 of these (4-7-11-12) fogged up on the PP's after running in events taken off the grass..

Best Value: #11 Can't Fool Me 12-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #10 Dontmesswithtess 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Miss Kristy 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Anileate 15-1 5th

9th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

This feature and tomorrow's Hopeful are as strong and compelling as any in recent memory. Every indication is that Ways and Means has unlimited upside and given the challenges of the rest of the P6 sequence, is your best single option..

Most Likely: #8 Ways and Means 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Sugar Hi 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Brightwork 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Wonder Ride 12-1 3rd

10th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #9 Dark Pool 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Jet City Woman 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Whiskey Lullaby 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #7 Rosy Tomorrows 6-1 6th

P6 Grid:

5: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
6: 5-9 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
7: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x1x2 = $144
All A's: 2x2x2x2x1x2 = $32

P5 Grid:

6: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
10: 1-9 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
8: 7-10-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
10: 1-3-7-9-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x4x1x5 = 40 x .50 = $20 (9 in 9th)

Good luck!
Steve