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Would a box all 10 cent superfecta make sense???
I was thinking, most 10 cent superfectas pay in the 100s right? Well if it was an 8 horse field and I just boxed ALL of them in a 10 cent play at Hollywood Park, would that cost more than what I'd probably get back?
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8 x 7 x 6 x 5 = 1680
1680/10= a $168 bet |
Over time you would lose the takeout on each bet which compounded means you would eventually go broke.
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Oops looking at some payouts most of them were under $1000 for $1. Most of them were around $500 which means a 10 cent box all would get me $50 which is less than the $168 it takes to box all.
So that was a bad idea of mine lol. |
It makes sense to wheel. Put the longshots first and second and then go all with all. My wife will play this ticket in a 10 horse field
5/5/all/all. She has hit a couple of nice ones. And she doesnt put anything under 10-1 in the first two slots. |
Bethani and I played a 5 horse .10 super for the first time a couple weeks ago ($12) and hit. Payed $100. That ratio (8-1+) is about right for the way I play. Doubt I'll play it much, but it's a fun action bet when you see a group of horses at big prices and you can't formulate a coherent opinion. That's pretty much what happened with the play mentioned... One 7-2 horse mixed in with four horses from 8-1 to 20-1. The 7-2 was third or fourth and the other prices juiced the payoff.
But Sunday at Hollywood, Bethani and I hit a $424 tri keying the 'obvious' horse on top with five underneath ($20). The $1 payout was $212, so we got 10-1 in a far less risky bet. |
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Steve knows where his bread is buttered..
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This is my favorite bet. If you have the balls and luck to put a price on top, the payouts can be extraordinary. 3 horses on top of five will cost 60 bucks with a realistic chance of a nice tri. |
Going off on a bit of a tangent here, but my last year my friends calculated that you would have a huge ROI by playing all/all exacta boxes in the Derby over the past 10 years or so. Even without the Giacomo race, you still would be positive.
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