Derby Trail Forums - 7/13: Saratoga (Opening Day; 4th-10th)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/Cond, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Salimah 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #4 Star Devine 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1A Messidor 5-2 [color="red"][4th/COLOR]
Exotics Use: #2 Sister Otoole 6-1 5th

5th: CLM, 4+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Dust Devil 4-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #4 Olliemyboy SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Portos 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Silver Dust 8-1 7th

6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky dash set.. If it's not the favorite, I'm not confident about who it might be..

Most Likely: #2 Runningwscissors 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Phantom Smoke 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Yarrow 4-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Rough Draft 3-1 5th

7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Making Into Happiness available last time looks like a rare miscue from Samantha Siegel & Michelle Nevin. Hennig good off the claim, lures Johnny and repeat of 6/23 effort wins this at a square price..

Best Value: #1 Into Happiness 8-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #10 Obrigada 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Sa Foradada 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Miscreant 20-1 8th

P4 Grid:

4: 5 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
7: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9

$0.50 Pick 4 (5,7/2/6/1) Paid $154.25

8th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Fun group with My Sea Cottage the one to beat, but trip and tactics leave it open to wider possibilities..

Best Value: #10 Consultant 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 My Sea Cottage 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Unleash the Power 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Front Man 10-1 4th

9th: Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Top pair appear to stand out a tad v. group that broke MDN's at 8 (!) different ovals..

Best Value: #1 Carmelina 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Wine On Tap 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Sugar Treat 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Saratoga Secret 4-1 2nd

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

"NY breds long on the turf" ~ Accept no substitute for the most prolific division of price results every summer..

Best Value: #4 Stone of Destiny 9-2 5th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #7 Arisaema 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Jannie May 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Here We Go Again 4-1 12th

P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 4-6-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-7 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C)
10: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (5-11 in 9th): 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

Good luck!
Steve