Derby Trail Forums - 3/4: Gulfstream (7th-14th); Santa Anita (4th-12th); AQU/OP (X-C P5)

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/C, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 High Oak 8-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Collaborate 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 White Abarrio 6-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Gran Runner 20-1 7th

8th: Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T/56' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Emmanuel 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Souper Dormy 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Safe Conduct 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Steady On 6-1 2nd

9th: Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Cairo Consort 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Danse Macabre 10-1 WON ($26.80)
Next Best: #12 Sweetlou'sgotaces 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Moonage Daydream 12-1 6th

10th: Gulfstream Mile (G2), 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Charge It 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Endorsed 4-1 WON ($13.80)
Best Value: #2 Steal Sunshine 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Nitrous Channel 8-1 9th

Middle P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-9 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)
10: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1 = $36
All A's: 3x3x2x1 = $18

11th: Honey Fox (G3), F&M-4+, 1m-T/56' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Speak of the Devil 7-5 5th
Next Best: #4 White Frost 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Fast as Flight 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Faith in Humanity 5-1 WON ($12.00)

GP 12th: Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Red Carpet Ready 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Undervalued Asset 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Dorth Vader 15-1 WON ($95.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Leave No Trace 5-1 8th

SA 5th: Buena Vista (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Quattroelle 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #5 School Dance 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Macadamia 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Closing Remarks 7-2 3rd

GP 13th: Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T/56' (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Bemma's Boy 20-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Astronaut 5-2 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Highest Honors 3-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Wicked Fast 10-1 5th

SA 6th: San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

As intriguing as this is going in, expect it to exceed expectations.. SCR of National Treasure shakes things up..

Best Value: #10 Skinner 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Fort Bragg 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Practical Move 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #7 Hejazi 7-2 4th

GP 14th: Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Forte 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #7 Mage 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Blazing Sevens 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Rocket Can 8-1 2nd

COAST TO COAST P5 Grid:

GP 12: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 5: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
GP 13: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 6: 9-10 (A), 3-7-8 (B), - (C)
GP 14: 4 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x5x1 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x1 = $24
Backup: 2x2x3x2x2 = $48

P5 Grid:

10: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 1-2-6-7-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 4 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x5x1 = $20
Backup: 1x2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

P4 Grid:

11: 3-4 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
12: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 1-2-6-7-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 4 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

All A's: 4x2x5x1 = $40
Backup: 2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CA-OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

One of the day's most interesting matchups as sleek Cal breds Bus Buzz & Kangaroo Court hook up..

Most Likely: #4 Kangaroo Court 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #1 Devil Among Us 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Bus Buzz 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Chicks Dig it Paddock SCR

SA 5th: Buena Vista (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Quattroelle 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #5 School Dance 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Macadamia 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Closing Remarks 7-2 3rd

SA 6th: San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

As intriguing as this is going in, expect it to exceed expectations.. SCR of National Treasure shakes things up..

Best Value: #10 Skinner 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Fort Bragg 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Practical Move 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #7 Hejazi 7-2 4th

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (Rainbow 6/Force Out, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Lincoln Hawk 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Dean Martini 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Carmelita's Man 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Cash Equity 3-1 WON ($8.20)

8th: MCLM/$40k, 3yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Snapp Daddy 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Stop and a Tres 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Mendez Mile 12-1 WON ($54.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Pacific States 7-2 3rd

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Honey Jar 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #8 Lady Jae 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Carmen Miranda 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Ultimate Hy 8-1 4th

Middle P4 Grid:

6: 3-9-10 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
8: 5-9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-8 in 9th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (3-6-5-6/10) Paid $1,183.15

10th: S/ALW, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Manitowish 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Zimba Warrior 4-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Joe Don Looney 12-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Next Revolt 4-1 4th

11th: Frank E. Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (SA/GG P4, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Hong Kong Harry 9-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Air Force Red 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Du Jour 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Master of Foxhounds 5-1 6th

12th: Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Proxy 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Defunded 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 There Goes Harvard 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Warrant 4-1 8th

Rainbow P6 Forceout:

7: 2-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-4-5-6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple: 4x4x1x2x2x5 = 320 x .20 = $64

P5 Grid:

8: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-11 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-8 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

9: 6-8 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-11 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4-8 in 9th)

AQUEDUCT/OAKLAWN CROSS COUNTRY PICK 5

POST-SCRATCHES

AQUEDUCT 4th (2:20pm ET): Busher, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Asset Purchase 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Shidabhuti 5-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #3 Ziaerati 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Capella 5-2 3rd

AQUEDUCT 8th: Tom Fool (G3), 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Runninsonofagun 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Drafted 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Eastern Bay 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Little Vic 6-1 WON ($15.00)

OAKLAWN 7th: Downthedustyroad-AR, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Summer Shoes 9-5 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #6 Connie K 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Kaboom Baby 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Unbridled Twister 4-1 5th

AQUEDUCT 9th: Gotham (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Slip Mahoney 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #14 Recruiter 12-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Lugan Knight 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 General Banker 30-1 3rd

OAKLAWN 9th: Nodouble-AR, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #8 Navy Seal SCR
Next Best: #7 Gar Hole 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Mrs. Beans 5-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Rolling Fork SCR

P5 Grid:

AQ 4: 5-6 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
AQ 8: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 7: 8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
AQ 9: 10-11-14 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 7-8/SCR (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-6 in OP 7)

Good luck!
Steve