Derby Trail Forums - 12/26: Santa Anita ~ Opening Day

SANTA ANITA ~ OPENING DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Mathis Bros. Mile (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 I'm a Gambler 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Balnikhov 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Handy Dandy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Sumter 3-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Purified 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Princip 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Bletchley Park 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Palagio 3-1 3rd

3rd: San Gabriel (G2), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Masteroffoxhounds 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Prince Abama 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Rip City 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Go On 10-1 6th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Yellow Brick 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Faustin 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #4 Sonoran 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Worcester 3-1 4th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Middle P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Smart Code 8-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #5 Dandy Man Shines 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Hawker 3-1 5th
Super Add: #12 Zio Jo 30-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-2 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
3: 2 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 3-5 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
5: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x.50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
3: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
4: 3-5 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
5: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x.50 = $12
Backup: 2x1x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6

6th: San Antonio (G2), 3+, 8.5f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Hopkins 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Country Grammer 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Hudson Ridge 6-1 5th

7th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Big Beauty 7-2 6th
Next Best: #9 La Deuxieme Etoile 5-1 WON ($15.00)
Best Value: #2 Smiling Molly 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Flame McGoon 5-1 5th

8th: La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Fun to Dream 5-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Midnight Memories 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Ain't Easy 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Under the Stars 7-2 7th

Middle P4 Grid:

5: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 8 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x5 = $45
All A's: 3x3x1x2 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 P4 (10-6-9-6) Paid $191.15 (A-A-C-A)

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Karakatsie 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Ballet Dancing 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Batyah 5-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Urban Fairytale 8-1 7th

10th: Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Taiba 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #4 Nakatomi 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Forbidden Kingdom 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Apprehend 8-1 6th

11th: American Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Bellstreet Bridie 4-1 11th
Best Value: #1 Rhea Moon 8-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #6 Mise En Scene 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Salimah 7-2 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 8-9 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
8: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 3-6-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x1x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 1x3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9

$0.50 P5 (9/6/3,13,14/6/1) Paid $798.70 (A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

8: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 3-6-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x1x4 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 P5 (9/6/3,13,14/6/1) Paid $174.10 ($87.05 for .50) (A-A-A-A)

Good luck!
Steve