Derby Trail Forums - 12/3: Del Mar (5th-9th)

DEL MAR

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: Stormy Liberal, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Turn On The Jets 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Rebel Posse 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Whatmakessammyrun 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Coulthard 5-1 5th

6th: OC/S-ALW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4m, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Army Star 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #1 Flame Rider 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Crowning Gold 4-1 2nd

7th: Jimmy Durante (G3), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Favored Brown invader Liguria (3-1) just OK in what looks like a well-matched bunch. Quickly Park It (8-1) broke MDN here (at trip to boot) and Sell the Dream gets back on lawn where he offers top efforts among top contenders..

Best Value: #2 Quickly Park It 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Sell the Dream 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Thebestisyettobe 5-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Liguria 3-1 WON ($4.80)

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Direct Line 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Street Ruckus 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Atomic Drop 4-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Traegar 5-1 WON ($9.60)

9th: Hollywood Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)

If 9f is OK for Wit, he's going to be tough to beat. After him however, anyone appears eligible for pay slots..

Most Likely: #9 Wit 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 War At Sea SCR
Next Best: #3 Celestial City 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Spycatcher 12-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Cabo Spirit 5-1 5th

P5 Grid:

5: 3-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), 1-4/SCR-5 (B), - (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 3-8/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 3x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-9 in 5th) + 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-8 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), 1-4/SCR-5 (B), - (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 3-8/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-8 in 9th)

Good luck!
Steve