Derby Trail Forums - 10/23: Belmont@Aqueduct ($45k P6 C/O)

BELMONT@AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Tough start to $45k P6 C/O with a number of droppers mixing it up with several that have good form at the level. Not an abundance of pace which further adds to the murkiness..

Best Value: #9 Jack the Cat 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Big Agenda 5-1 WON ($8.70)
Exotics Use: #4 Monarchs Glen 8-1 12th
Super Add: #3 Regal Speaker 12-1 4th

5th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Khali Magic 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Cupid's Heart 7-5 WON ($3.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Bustin Bay 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Miss Alacrity 6-1 7th

6th: Carle Place, 3yo, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Fun, competitive group that sure looks like it has contentious pace. Can Mike Moore's legit That's Right take them the extra yardage out to 6f? On the distance topic, note that Too Many Twizzlers (Won), Run Curtis Run (2nd) and Sousa Summer (3rd) cut back from the added trip 6.5f at KY Downs. Outlaw Kid won sharply at 6f over the course 5 weeks ago and looks like a potential lean for budgetary considerations..

Most Likely: #3 OUTLAW KID 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Groom's All Business 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 That's Right 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Run Curtis Run 4-1 WON ($8.00)

7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Masked Marauder another possible small budget tool..

Most Likely: #1 Masked Marauder 9-5 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #9 Jake Rocks 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Mr Breadwinner 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Will E. Sutton 10-1 3rd

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (DD)

Best Value: #2 Dufresne 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Royal Dancer 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Lisa's Vision 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Saratoga Gaze 6-1 9th

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 7f

Ugh.. Bad bunch o' coconuts..

Best Value: #11 April First 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Follow the Fed 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3x Pebble Lane 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #9 Amanda's Folly 6-1 4th

P6 Grid:

4: 4-6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
5: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-9 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 4-11 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x1x4x3 = $120
All A's: 3x2x1x1x2x2 = $24

P5 Grid:

5: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), 9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-9 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), 9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-9 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9

Good luck!
Steve