9/14: Kentucky Downs (Closing Day; 5th-12th)
 

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: H'cap, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Duke of Hazzard 10-1 WON ($9.66)
Next Best: #6 Accredit 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Field Pass 5-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Majestic Eagle 20-1 8th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Too Many Twizzlers 4-1 WON ($7.32)
Best Value: #9 Blue Norther 10-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Sousa Summer 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Favorite Outlaw 6-1 11th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Amaryllis Kiss 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Fiddle 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Point Well Taken 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Rosalita 6-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Favored Evan Sing is OK, but not sure the 6.5f benefits him..

Best Value: #6 Cloudy 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Lyrical Poet 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Summer Assault 12-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Shadow Sphinx 6-1 9th


9th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Really Good 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Reckoning Force 5-1 WON ($10.58)
Best Value: #10 Mikey Bananas 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Laver 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

5: 6-8-9 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
6: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-2-8-10 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7-8-10 (A), 1-2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x7x2 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A's: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: Gun Runner, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fuerteventura 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 St Anthony 12-1 4th
Next Best: #12 American Mayhem 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Fort Washington 5-1 5th


11th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Burning Ambition 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Curly Ruth 12-1 -
Next Best: #8 Navratilova 5-1 -
Exotics Use: #7 Alms 7-2 WON ($)


12th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Must Pay Hi-5)

Slightly mysterious end to the season. Navy Fleet a half to Ivar for Paolo Lobo.

Most Likely: #10 Revenue Train 5-1
Next Best: #4 Letter of Gold 9-5
Best Value: #3 Take It South 20-1
Exotics Use: #11 Self Confident 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #6 Beck and Girl 12-1


P5 Grid:

8: 6-7-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
9: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 8-12 (C)
11: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-10 (A), 3-11 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (8-12 in 10th): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36; (5-6 in 12th) 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 2-8 (A), - (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-10 (A), 3-5-6-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (9-10 in 9th): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve