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Kasept 09-06-2022 04:37 AM

9/6: Colonial Downs (VA Derby/Oaks Day)
 
COLONIAL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Flyin Bessie 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dreaming of Snow 20-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #2 Inventing Anna 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lure'em In 8-1 9th


6th: Kitten's Joy, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rarified Flair 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Gigante 5-2 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #6 Artico 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Free Soul 5-1 3rd


7th: Da Hoss, 3+, 5.5f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Hyper competitive dash..

Best Value: #7 Matta 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Yes and Yes 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Nobody Listens 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 County Final 8-1 3rd


8th: Rosies, 2yo, 5.5f-Outer (P3, DD)

Lightly raced juvy turf sprinters means guesswork..

Most Likely: #1 Call Me Ice Man 5-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Bal a Kazoo 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Grand Oak 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Opposites Attract 8-1 6th


P4 Grid:

5: 7-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 3-7-8 (A), 4-6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (1-6 in 6th): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: Virginia Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner (P3, DD)

With fave Oakhurst out-posted, this seems open to some that should enjoy advantageous trips..

Best Value: #3 Catiche 5-1 11th
Next Best: #13 Oakhurst 3-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Sparkle Blue 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Surprisingly 12-1 7th


10th: Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-Inner (DD)

Half of this field looks eligible (1-2-5-7-9-10)..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Patronage 5-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Limited Liability 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Catnip 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Unanimous Consent 3-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-13 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 1-5-9 (A), 2-7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2-9 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-13 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), 2-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2-9 in 9th) + $18 (2-7-10 in 10th)


11th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-Outer

Best Value: #8 Soft Touch 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #1 Trail Ridge Road 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Batyah 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Vibrancy 12-1 6th


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-06-2022 10:16 AM

CNL SCR/CHG'S

Alabama Stakes 09-06-2022 10:25 AM

Why are you against Unanimous Consent ? Seems like everyone else is too.


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