Derby Trail Forums - 8/10: Saratoga (Day 20; Tale of the Cat)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Baltimore Kid 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Hurtgen Forest 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Take Profit 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Spring Heeled Jim 7-2 5th

2nd: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Drink the Wind 1-1 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #3 Offutt Cole Gate SCR
Best Value: #1 Prince of Fenton 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Readyseekgo 5-1 6th

3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Boss Jim 5-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Makar 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Conman 4-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #6 Itsallcomintogether 9-2 3rd

4th: OC/C, 3+, 6f )P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sibelius 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 Kinetic Sky 9-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Mexican Wonder Boy 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Prime Factor 8-1 4th

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Boxcar potential here..

Best Value: #4 Be the Boss 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Tonal Impact 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Inflation Adjusted 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Super Add: #8 B C Glory Days 15-1 10th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Security Code 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Maple Leaf Mel 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Pebble Lane 10-1 -
Super Add: #1 Love My Candy 7-2 -

P5 Grid:

2: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
3: 7-9 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (1-3 in 2nd): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 5 (3,5/2,4,10,11,12,13/5/1,9,13/8,11,12,13) Paid $87.87

P4 Grid:

3: 7-9 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,4,10,11,12,13/5/1,9,13/8,11,12,13) Paid $47.12

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 King Moonracer 4-1 2nd-Up from 3rd
Best Value: #9 Montham 8-1 WON-DQ'd to last
Next Best: #5 Starrystarryknight 6-1 4th-Up from 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Cousin Andrew 8-1 5th-Up from 6th

8th: Tale of the Cat-R, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Southern District 7-5 4th
Next Best: #1 Isolate 4-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Repo Rocks 9-2 2nd

9th: NY-ALW/C, 3+, 1m-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #7 Mr. Kringle 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 War Terminator 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Front Line Dancer 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #6 Battle Scars 8-1 4th

10th: MSW, 3+, 9.5f-T/27'

Best Value: #4 Evan Harlan SCR
Next Best: #7 Running Bee 4-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #5 Clubbing 8-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Cloud Forest 4-1 8th

P5 Grid:

6: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-9 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
9: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4/SCR-7 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x3x4 = 96 x .50 =- $48
All A's: 2x2x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x1x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 6-9 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
9: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4/SCR-7 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x3x4 = 96 x .50 =- $48
All A's: 2x2x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x1x3x2 = 12 x .50 = $6

Good luck!
Steve