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-   -   8/7: Saratoga (Oaks, ADK, De La Rose; 4th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=71495)

Kasept 08-07-2022 05:48 AM

8/7: Saratoga (Oaks, ADK, De La Rose; 4th-10th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f ($3 Triple Play/4th-7th-9th, P3, DD)

Favored Naughty Gal lone entrant with advantage of win at 6f..

Most Likely: #2 Naughty Gal 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #3 Promise of Hope 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Damaso 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sabra Tuff 7-2 3rd


$3 Triple Play P3 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x4 = 16 x $3 = $48


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Quite a bit of guesswork involved with this set of juvy gals..

Best Value: #5 Tribal Queen 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Peace Cruiser 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bisset 9-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Raging Sea 5-1 WON ($15.80)


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very interesting set of pedigrees involved here including Justify firsters from Pletcher (Invest Wisely o/o Emma's Encore) and Dutrow (La Mazel)..

Most Likely: #9 Delight 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 La Mazel 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Pink Hue 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Invest Wisely 5-1 5th


7th: Saratoga Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 With the Moonlight 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #2 McKulick 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Contemporary Art 6-1 4th


SAR Derby/Oaks DBL:

SAT 11: 4 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
SUN 7: 3-4/SCR (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)

4 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $20 = $40
4 w/ 1-2 = 2 X $5 = $10
6 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $10 = $20
6 w/ 1-2 = 2 x $5 = $10

$1 DBL (4/3) Paid $7.60 x 10 = $76.00
$1 Conso DBL (4/4) Paid $3.65 x 10 = $36.50



8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Filly and mare version of Saturday's 7f heat where Saint Tapit followed up his MDN win with a grindy win (90 Beyer)..

Best Value: #1 Wicked Hot 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Empire Hope 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Colorful Mischief 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #8 Portilla 9-2 5th


9th: De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-Inner (DD)

This has become one of my favorite races of the season as it always features a talented set of F&M's. Tabbed Jouster for Beat Byk but didn't expect her to be ML fave. No one here is an auto-toss..

Most Likely: #5 Jouster 5-2 ~ 6th 'Beat Byk' Selection; Qualify for 9/17 final HERE..
Next Best: #1 Love and Thunder 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Assertive Style 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Our Flash Drive 7-2 WON ($10.00)


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Merci (7-2) drops, but still appears to be a highly vulnerable favorite..

Best Value: #11 Cash in a Flash 8-1 ~ 7th Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #1 Digital Software 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Fieldstone 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Bless Bless 6-1 9th


P5 Grid:

6: 9-10 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (A-C-A-A-A; 2 in 7th): 2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/3,4/5/6/1,13,14,15,16) Paid $489.25


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (C-A-A-A; 1-5 in 7th): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,4/5/6/1,13,14,15,16) Paid $115.62



Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-07-2022 10:28 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Max Caidy 08-07-2022 05:28 PM

Great job Steve w pick p5!

seekingthegold 08-07-2022 05:34 PM

da man
 
steve thx for the late p5 4 and 3

I know its a lot of work for you but a guy like me so appreciates you

thanks, pal

casp0555 08-07-2022 05:35 PM

nice work this weekend Steve!

Beach529 08-07-2022 06:21 PM

Thanks
 
Steve thank you for all the hard work,I do appreciate seeing your post each race .
Another great day today.

Bogey 08-07-2022 07:32 PM

Steve, nice work

Kasept 08-08-2022 06:23 AM

Fellas.. Thanks a lot. Nice weekend and hope everyone got something. Was a little unlucky on 3 substantial potential hits this first half of the season (2 tough beats and the embarrassing non call in Wednesday's 8th), but also feel like I've settled in after that hectic travel those first 2+ weeks. Second half starts in earnest Wednesday. Let's keep get lucky!


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