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-   -   8/5: Saratoga (Hall of Fame/Troy; 5th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=71487)

Kasept 08-05-2022 05:15 AM

8/5: Saratoga (Hall of Fame/Troy; 5th-10th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 12f-Inner (P6, $3 Triple Play/5-8-9, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Ballymore Star 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Shad Nation 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Rheaume 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 My Sweet Story 8-1 6th


$3 Triple Play Grid:

5: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-3-5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1 = 18 x $3 = $54
All A's: 3x2x1 = 6 x $3 = $18
Backups: 1-3-5 w/ 6-7 w/ 3 = 3x2x1 = 6 x $3 = $18


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 AZTEC NIGHTS 6-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #2 Love Tank 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Run for Cover 6-1 6th
Super Add: #10 She'll Never Know 8-1 8th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Ragtime Blues 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Direct Order 3-1 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Dark Storm 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Handy 8-1 8th


8th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Always interesting group for this and there is not one auto-toss of the 9 including Chucky Lawrence's 20-1 Wow What a Summer whose Penn Mile win stands up against these. And what do you do with Wit (4-1) whose grass efforts in the morning hint at turf ability? Double Clutch got within 2 lengths of Annapolis in the Manila and that one is your 5-2 choice in tomorrow's Saratoga Derby. Rusty Arnold regularly offers overlay potential in these parts. Super race and none of the 3,024 superfecta combinations are impossible..

Best Value: #7 Double Clutch 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Ready to Perform 9-2 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Wit 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Stolen Base 8-1 7th


9th: Troy (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Golden pal the horse to beat obviously, but Arzak is not far off the favorite and has benefit of pace set up. Spycraft is an overlay at 15-1 and Thin White Duke can nab 3rd or 4th late..

Most Likely: #5 Golden Pal 1-2 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #3 Arzak 9-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Spycraft 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Thin White Duke 30-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Wicked Lady 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #4 Big Bean Christine 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Miss Malala 30-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Regal Rebel 6-1 9th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x1x1 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup: $18 (1-3-7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/4/6/5/6) Paid $272.50 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup: $12 (3-7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/6/5/6) Paid $64.37 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-05-2022 11:17 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

jtrottier 08-05-2022 07:28 PM

Great handicapping today…especially with the all caps pick of AZTEC. Hopefully this starts a nice stretch of cashing in. Thanks as always Steve.

Dahoss 08-05-2022 08:22 PM

Nice work today Steve!

atolunch 08-05-2022 10:15 PM

Awesome job today, congrats and thanks as always!!

Great to see the return of all CAPS with a big winner as well.

Here's to a great weekend:tro::$:

ninetoone 08-05-2022 10:34 PM

Nice work today Steve. I've been on the grounds and hoping to run into you to show you my retro/original DT baseball hat...LOL

I took a big swing on Ballymore Star and came really close - then missed out on the ALL CAPS special. Thought I was a goner until Ready to Perform bailed me out!

Been pretty chalky the last 2 days - I'm looking for a couple bombs tomorrow!

Good luck!

Kasept 08-06-2022 04:12 AM

Big weekend ahead.. Let's all get lucky!


Quote:

Originally Posted by jtrottier (Post 1168204)
Great handicapping today…especially with the all caps pick of AZTEC. Hopefully this starts a nice stretch of cashing in. Thanks as always Steve.

THX JT.. Think I've capped well this first half earning some minor pops, but have been unable to convert the bigger tix. Only takes a couple.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1168206)
Nice work today Steve!

THX Hossy.. Darting the creepers may have bolstered my efforts.

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch (Post 1168211)
Awesome job today, congrats and thanks as always!! Great to see the return of all CAPS with a big winner as well.

Here's to a great weekend:tro::$:

THX Larry.. Expect that settling in for the month after the travel the first 2 weeks will be helpful.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ninetoone (Post 1168212)
Nice work today Steve. I've been on the grounds and hoping to run into you to show you my retro/original DT baseball hat...LOL

I took a big swing on Ballymore Star and came really close - then missed out on the ALL CAPS special. Thought I was a goner until Ready to Perform bailed me out!

Been pretty chalky the last 2 days - I'm looking for a couple bombs tomorrow!

Good luck!

THX.. If you're in the gate by 12:30 or so weekdays, I've been broadcasting from the racing office next to the shine stand..

Just haven't been able to get the Ballymore Star types (have tried several) a11 the way around.


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