Derby Trail Forums - 7/14: Saratoga (Day 1-Schuylerville/Wilton)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

"They're off at Saratoga.."

Most Likely: #6 Bear Alley 5-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Royal Tryst 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #9 Kershaw 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Dark Storm 10-1 4th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Chocolate Gelato 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Two Minute Drill 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Half a Chance 9-5 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Thirty Thou Kelvin 6-1 6th

3rd: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T/12' (P3, DD)

Five class droppers and not much pace signed on..

Most Likely: #4 High Tide 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Grand Journey 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Takafumi 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Street Copper 15-1 5th

4th: MSW, 3+, 11f-Inner/9' (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Vintage Year 8-1 4th ~ Depaula Play of the Day!
Next Best: #3 Remote 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Grand Cay 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Snow's Island 6-1 WON ($19.40)

5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Eye-crossing group..

Most Likely: #3 Majority Partner 9-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #7 The Institute 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Catching Cupid 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Hereby 8-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 4-9 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
4: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 4-6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 4-9 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
4: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 4-6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T/12' (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

King Moonracer is supposed to win this..

Most Likely: #9 King Moonracer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #11 Me 'n Sap 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Just Say When 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Fast N Fearious 6-1 11th

7th: Wilton, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair stand out, but debut of quirky configuration makes things interesting..

Most Likely: #1 Goddess of Fire 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Tarabi 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Favor 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 A Mo Reay 5-1 7th

8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner/9' (P3, DD)

Several things conspired against Customer List at PEN in seasonal debut and Chad gives her an opportunity here to restart campaign. After her, this is a potentially wild exotics scene..

Most Likely: #6 Customer List 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Candy Light 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Love to Run 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Big Tentations 20-1 10th

9th: Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Me and My Shadow 7-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Just Cindy 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Summer Promise 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Vedareo 8-1 5th

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T/12'

Fast Corey is a likely winner and is not favored..

Most Likely: #5 Fast Corey 7-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Abuse of Power 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #4 Rigby 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Dame Time 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
8: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
8: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 9 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

Good luck!
Steve