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-   -   4/23: Oaklawn (5th-12th; X-C P5) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=71018)

Kasept 04-23-2022 06:05 AM

4/23: Oaklawn (5th-12th; X-C P5)
 
OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


OAKLAWN 5th: Apple Blossom (G1), F&M4+, 8.5f (X-C P5, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Clairiere 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Letruska 7-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Ce Ce 2-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

OP 5: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
OP 8: 1-4-6 (A), 2-3-5-7 (B), - (C)
AQ 8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQ 9: 4-6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), 1 (C)
OP 11: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x7x1x5x2 = 140 x .50 = $70
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($33): $9 (5/C-A-A-A-A) + $6 (1/A-A-A-C-A) + $18 (1-4/A-A-A-A-C)


6th: S/ALW, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Honorary Degree 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Verrazano First 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 River Echo 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Buxterhooter Gate SCR


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Plausible Denile 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Royal Consort 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Acehigh Royal 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Raymond 12-1 WON ($12.40)


8th: Oaklawn S., 3yo, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Bizarre race. And note that none of these have traveled 9f yet adding more intrigue..

Best Value: #1 Clancy's Pistol 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Home Brew 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #6 The Skipper Too 4-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Stellar Tap 5-2 5th


8th: NYSS Times Square, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Barese 2-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Kazmike 8-1 WON ($20.80)
Next Best: #1 Unique Unions 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mo Dancin 15-1 4th


9th: Woodhaven, 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Unanimous Consent 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Best Value: #7 Maseta 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Fort Washington 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Chanceux 5-1 3rd


9th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Town Champ 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Don't Forget 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Drena's Star 9-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Admirably 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: $8 (5/C-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: $8 (2-5/A-C-A-A)


10th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Eastside Cool 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #9 Go West 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 First Line 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Kurilov 6-1 9th


11th: Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Fearless 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Plainsman 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Beau Luminarie 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Idol 6-1 6th


12th: AR-OC/N1X, 3+, 6f

Oy..

Most Likely: #10 J.E.'s Handmedown 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 You Vee Cee 12-1 WON ($36.40)
Next Best: #5 Blame J D 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Ima Bling Cat 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 8 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
12: 5-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $36 (1-6/A-A-A-C-A)


P4 Grid:

9: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 8 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
12: 5-10-11 (A), 2-3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $18 (1-6/A-A-C-A)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 04-23-2022 10:23 AM

OP SCR/CHG'S

AQU SCR/CHG'S

Dahoss 04-23-2022 04:13 PM

I'm sure Manny Franco had a good reason for coming off the gold rail that has carried runners the last 3 days in the 8th. Makes total sense to come off of the best part of the track and move into the quicksand.

Conrad 04-24-2022 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UncleBenelli (Post 1163539)
Great work as always Steve. Thanks hit multiple tris Including the 12th!!

Your comment, was key indicator for the All Button.
With Best Value and Most likely separated it was an easy ticket. The Key was your layout.
Cuban Sandwich for lunch!!

Thanks again. God Bless

Havana Daydreamin'


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