Derby Trail Forums - 4/13: Keeneland (1st; 4th-8th)

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4/13: Keeneland (1st; 4th-8th)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 4.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Top of My Game 6-1: Mendez popped Friday; Dam Pious Ashley was quick.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Olczyk SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Alibi Ike 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Twist of Faith 6-1 5th

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Ride the Plan SCR the one to beat off pair of solid tries, but I'm interested in Helen Pitts (who can win with a firster) and One Full Moon whose City Zip half brother was fast..

Best Value: #2 One Full Moon 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Runaway Wife 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Steal My Sunshine 4-1 7th
Super Add: #11 West Love 10-1 5th

5th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

I'll have a steak sandwich and a.. steak sandwich. Put it on the Underhill's Tab, but Sisaway Now's debut was downright fast and 20-1 very appealing if Murrill can negotiate the rail draw..

Best Value: #1 Sisaway Now 20-1 12th
Next Best: #7 Underhill's Tab 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Varatti 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Mickey from Wexford 10-1 3rd

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

First North America player King Vega intrigues here, especially with some front end interest under Saez. Doubt the 8-1 holds..

Best Value: #9 King Vega 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Aviano 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Cool Rags 8-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Arabian Prince 9-2 3rd

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (DD)

Wow.. Deep and fast-paced which elevates late kicking Winter Pool and of course Chad's 'other' runner is the Justify sib Stage Raider. Vickie Oliver wins at KEE and it looks like she was legging Hidden Stash up with those 2 turf runs. He broke his MDN here..

Most Likely: #9 Winter Pool 9-2 9th
Best Value: #6 Hidden Stash 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Stage Raider 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Laughing Boy 8-1 3rd

8th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 7f (Hi-5)

Mercy Warren the filly to beat, but Annagangsta is a ridiculous overlay turning back against lighter company..

Most Likely: #7 Mercy Warren 4-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #8 Santa Elena 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Dream Music 3-1 5th

P5 Grid:

4: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-7 (A), 2-12 (B), - (C)
6: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-9 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (A-A-A-C-A) + $18 (A-A-A-A-C)

P4 Grid:

5: 1-7 (A), 2-12 (B), - (C)
6: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-9 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
8: 7-8 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (A-A-A-C)

Good luck!
Steve

Been waiting for the return of Varatti. Could be a player in the division later this summer.

Was nice of Stevie Wonder to film the races at Keeneland today.

Why are the basics so difficult for racetracks?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1163263)

Was nice of Stevie Wonder to film the races at Keeneland today.

Why are the basics so difficult for racetracks?

That was something..

Even with the 5 horse field in the 8th, feels like the P5 is heading towards a carryover.

$10k P3 just now..

C/O with 2-4-6.

$325k+ to 7-8.

Someone is somehow live to the 7 and 8 in the pick 5.

Amazing

Quote:

Originally Posted by UncleBenelli (Post 1163284)

In the 5th and 7th

Utilizing Cuban Trifecta, One would have hit, $202, (5th) and $1,570 In 7th.
For 50center!

Not even a week after posting,,, Thats 3 out of 4 races last week, with healthy profits. , and then a Wall banger in the 7th today!!!

Thank you Steve for all the heavy lifting, it makes playing these races enjoyable and profitable. Running to the Roses.

:)

Wow.

We’ve reached a new low. Congrats!

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/att...1&d=1649939584

Here's a bet I made on Scheffler :)...in February.
It wasn't much of a stretch to pick him. He's been playing lights out

Quote:

Originally Posted by UncleBenelli (Post 1163288)

New Low for you! Haha I own you.

Must be frustrating to realize how completely wrong you were. Like on any and every comment you make.

You are so Jealous and frustrated, its hilarious. You are mad because you see how wrong you were, and spent 30 minutes listening to a podcast that detailed thousands of dollars in the Masters tournament.
The handicapping approach that Utilizes Steve's Picks and how to slot them into a trifecta, is also documented with the winners on Multiple Public channels.

The More you talk the more of a fool you make of yourself, you see sir, I do this daily, and have for a long time. This is why , you can easily find my work, documented and easy to find-

This aint no Hobby Pal- I really hope you keep up the fight though, as I think it is you that has put me on this heater.

You are probably aware, so far, no one can find a documented Public Pick On Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters, It is actually a topic of discussion on the PGA channel on serious.

Its never a one and done for me, like I said, I do it daily.
I did a Podcast for the Ibet Networks last night on the PGA tourny this week at Hilton head South Carolina.
I am going to Hit the Winner again and this one will not be 18-1

No this one will be 65-1 ! 12-1 for top5 and 9-1 top 10.
I believe it is one of the best shows I have dome with the Ibetnetworks, and have lots of email inbox on it this morn. All really good feedback and lots of thanks for the Big score in the Masters.

Keep on churning Da DumbDumb.

Hang Loose

You’re delusional. No one even knows what you’re talking about.

I listened to your podcast for like 2 minutes and actually complimented you. Congrats on picking a winner. Isn’t that your job? Act like you’ve don’t it before.

Actual winners don’t need to redboard in an effort to prove themselves. You cherry pick when it’s convenient. But just for arguments sake, my guess is you will never be able to prove you hit either trifecta you’re claiming to yesterday.

Prove me wrong. If you can I’ll give you your kudos and never comment on any of your bullish.it again. If you can’t, it’ll prove what I’ve been saying all along.

Time to put up or shut up. Let’s see what you got.

The winner was 16-1 but there isn’t a documented public pick of him anywhere?!?

Hilarious

I love the “you can easily find my work documented.”

Show me your documented success hitting trifectas like you said. Should be VERY easy.

No one cares about your podcast. My guess is you have fewer than 100 listeners and I’m being generous. If they saw your performance here it’d be 0.

Put up or shut up. Let’s see your documented success

Quote:

Originally Posted by UncleBenelli (Post 1163284)

Using Steve's posted picks you would not have hit any of these using 2/3/all box. If by some miracle you did come up with the correct sequence using his picks in 5th race and 7th race ,which I dont know how you could, the only race you made any real money was race 5 and it took a miracle 73-1 shot to come in. Race 7 you would have made a small amount (bet $162 to win $212 which is terrible odds for that much bet) and no way you hit any of the others. Why don't you start a thread where you post the tri plays before the races go off so I can see how you are doing this. I can't see this working at all long term except if you get lucky in large races maybe the derby. In long run you will lose money.

i cant make heds or tail out of all this bs how much would a bet cost 12hprde field 2by 3 all boxed cost if there is such a bet

Quote:

Originally Posted by cassie (Post 1163295)

i cant make heds or tail out of all this bs how much would a bet cost 12hprde field 2by 3 all boxed cost if there is such a bet

12 horse field $1 bet 2x3xall boxed $432

Quote:

Originally Posted by UncleBenelli (Post 1163304)

Not to worry, Horses run all the time, and Steve consistently picks winners, wait for a big day, I show you how it works,
Except for Dumb Dumb, he wont ever understand how to make money.
Some folks were just born for mediocrity. Accept and move on, love ya,
Hang loose

Considering you can barely put a coherent sentence together the dumb dumb stuff is pretty funny.

I know one thing, one of us had a regular spot on a prominent racing show for years and one of us is cyber blowing Steve in a pathetic effort to weasel his way on to his show.

Guess which one you are? :eek: