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-   -   Value Plays - AQU R6 & CD R10 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7078)

Bogey 11-21-2006 11:26 PM

Value Plays - AQU R6 & CD R10
 
Aqueduct - Race 6

#7 Morning Jewel - Failed as the fav last time out at the Meadowlands, but had a troubled trip and should enjoy the one-turn mile cutback here. McLaughlin and Jara are not a bad combo either. There's plenty to like and the 5-1 ML looks enticing.

Churchill Downs - Race 10

#11 Tactical Joe - Werner sends them out ready to fire at 1st asking (15%). Not crazy about the PP, definitely using. ML 8-1

Good Racing Luck

Kasept 11-22-2006 03:17 AM

Gus,

Interesting you landed on the AQU 6th.. I never got a chance to talk about the Late AQU P4 races last night on the show, but had capped them and the 6th was a fascinating group. A lot of nice 3yo maiden gals here, and Morning Jewel is absolutely one of the 'logicalist'.. But I thought there was a great deal of value EVERYWHERE in this, including the 6 (Pure Fiction/8-1) and 5 (Elsloom/8-1).. The 8 (My Rachel/3-1) is serious too.

One caution with Morning Jewel, who has dropped in price from 12-1, to 7-1, to 4-1 to 3-2 in her 4 career starts, is that her best effort came going 8.5f two turns on the tighter MED oval last time, and she gets a one turn mile at wider, sweeping Big A here. If this race had been last weekend on the Inner Track, I'd be a lot more confident in her in this spot...

Anyway, the late 4 races at AQU are quite good, and there could be a real P4 gem buried in this quartet... I'm writing them up shortly...

Happy Thanksgiving!
SB

Bogey 11-22-2006 07:44 AM

Steve, if things follow suit, we just gave out the tri box (5 6 7). Personally, I'm going to single Morning Jewel in the PK4. Graduation time.

Happy Thanksgiving to all

Coach Pants 11-22-2006 03:06 PM

I'm liking Durajazz in the eighth at CD. Local owner hunch play at a price.

Bogey 11-22-2006 05:42 PM

Not a bad afternoon at all. I hope some you cashed in on Morning Jewel $12.00 to win and Tactical Joe $15.40 to place and $10.40 to show. I'm looking forward to the Fair Grounds Meet.

zippyneedsawin 11-22-2006 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
Not a bad afternoon at all. I hope some you cashed in on Morning Jewel $12.00 to win and Tactical Joe $15.40 to place and $10.40 to show. I'm looking forward to the Fair Grounds Meet.


great picks, Bogey! Thanks for the info, I used Morning Jewel in the Grand Slam and nailed it several times!

Bogey 11-22-2006 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
great picks, Bogey! Thanks for the info, I used Morning Jewel in the Grand Slam and nailed it several times!

Zip, thanks and congrats.

Zaf 11-22-2006 09:05 PM

Thanks Bogey,

I saw your post on Morning Jewel this morning !

Bogey 11-22-2006 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zaf
Thanks Bogey,

I saw your post on Morning Jewel this morning !

Zaf, Thanks, I was pleasantly surprised she went off at her morning line odds. It should be a great Holiday weekend of racing.

ateamstupid 11-23-2006 03:21 AM

Bogey's money.

Bogey 11-23-2006 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Bogey's money.

Ateam, Thanks


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