Derby Trail Forums - 12/18: Aqueduct (5th-9th); Oaklawn (6th-10th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bold Journey 1-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #13 Infeasible 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Golden Code 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bert Bert Bert 8-1 6th

6th: NYSS-Great White Way, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Tricky read with invading new faces (Stirdatpot/Un Oja) and a pair of solid turf runners (Maseta/Geno) trying the main..

Most Likely: #6 Geno 9-2 WON ($18.80)
Best Value: #11 Un Ojo 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Bustin Pietre 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Iron Lion in Zion 8-1 9th

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Royal Realm 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 No Burn 4-1 WON ($14.20)
Best Value: #3 F F Rocket 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Blu Grotto 6-1 2nd

8th: NYSS-Fifth Avenue, 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Morning Matcha 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Howdyoumakeumoney 3-1 9th
Best Value: #3 Laoban's Legacy 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Bank On Anna 8-1 5th

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #3 Raven Rocks 4-1 7th
Best Value: #12 Tapizearance 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Big Brown Shoes 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Uncle George 7-2 9th

P5 Grid:

5: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-6-11 (A), 8-9-10 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
7: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 3-12 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-3-4) + $9 (3)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-6-11 (A), 8-9-10 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
7: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 3-12 (A), 1 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-3-4) + $9 (3) + $9 (2)

OAKLAWN

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Chicory Blue 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Exemplar 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Hidden Promise 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Home Run Trick 5-1 WON ($4.60)

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Icy Stare Down 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Chesterette 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Peace Peddler 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Mommasgottarun 9-2 5th

8th: ALW/NC, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mucho 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #8 CZ Rocket 5-2 SCR
Best Value: #5 Royal Daaher 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Sir Alfred James 9-2 3rd

9th: Tinsel, 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Beau Luminarie 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Warrior's Charge 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Lone Rock 8-5 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #4 Title Ready 9-2 6th

10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f

Best Value: #4 Call Me Jamal 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #5 Quick to Blame 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bon Bueno 5-1 12th
Super Add: #2 Mountain Pine 15-1 11th

P5 Grid:

6: 2-6 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
7: 3-6 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (7-8) + $6 (2)

.50 Pick Five (3-1/6/9-7/8-2-4) 5 Correct Paid $328.15 (x2 = $656.30)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

.50 Pick Four (1/6/9-7/8-2-4) Paid $121.80 (x2 = $243.60) ~ A-A-A-A

Good luck!
Steve