Derby Trail Forums - 10/9: Belmont (4th-8th); Keeneland (6th-10th); BC Challenge P6

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Zandon 5-2 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #4 Chanceux 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Matt Doyle 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Sky and Sand 9-2 3rd

5th: Vosburgh (G2), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Firenze Fire 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Following Sea 9-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #3 Baby Yoda 7-5 3rd

6th: Matron (G3), 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Both Wards have SCR'd..

Most Likely: #7 Bubble Rock 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #4 Lady Danae 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mystic Eyes 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Mainstay 6-1 9th

7th: Joe Hirsch (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Japan 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Arklow 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Gufo 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Rockemperor 10-1 WON ($33.20)

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Neuro 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Samay 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Phantom Smoke 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Sheriff Bianco 5-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

4: 2 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
8: 2-3-11 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $36 (4-5) + $12 (4-6) + $12 (5-6)

$0.50 Pick 5 (2/5/1,7,8,10/4/3,7) Paid $2,272.25 (A-A-A-C-A)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (Stakes P5, Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Firecrow 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Extravagant Kid 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Golden Pal 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Super Add: #5 Charcoal 20-1 7th

Turf P3 Grid:

6: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), 2 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3 = 24 x $3 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3 = 6 x $3 = $18
Backup (6-7 in 8th): 2x2x3 = 12 x $3 = $24

7th: TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bell's the One 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #4 Estilio Talentoso 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Inthemidstofbiz 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Frank's Rockette 5-2 5th

8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Althiqa 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Empress Josephine 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Regal Glory 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Daddy Is a Legend 12-1 8th

9th: Breeders Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Classic Causeway 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 American Sanctuary 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Don't Wait Up 9-2 13th
Exotics Use: #9 Great Escape 8-1 9th

10th: Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Order of Australia 7-2 12th
Next Best: #7 Pixelate 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Ivar 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 In Love 20-1 WON ($26.20)

BC Challenge 2-day P6 Grid:

SAT BEL 5 (Vosburgh): 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT KEE 8 (First Lady): 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT KEE 10 (Turf Mile): 6-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
SUN BEL 5 (Futurity): 4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
SUN KEE 9 (Spinster): 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
SUN KEE 10 (Bourbon): 10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x3x1x2 = $54
All A's: 3x1x3x1x1x2 = $18

Stakes P5 Grid:

6: 4-6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 3 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
9: 5-7-13 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 6-12 (C)
10: 6-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (2-5) + $18 (1-3) + $12 (6-12)

Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 3 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
9: 5-7-9-13 (A), 1-3-6-12 (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x8x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (1-3)

11th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Let My People Go 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Giant Game 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Norgay 6-1 -
Super Add: #3 Hitting Bombs 9-2 4th

P4 Grid:

8: 3 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
9: 5-7-13 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 6-12 (C)
10: 6-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-10 (A), 3-4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 1x3x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $6 (6-12)

Good luck!
Steve