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-   -   8/11: Saratoga (Day 20; $187k P6 C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=69969)

Kasept 08-10-2021 05:47 PM

8/11: Saratoga (Day 20; $187k P6 C/O)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

$187k P6 ($1) carryover starts here and it's a maniacally challenging sequence..

Most Likely: #1 Tivoli Twist 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Blitz to Win 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 My Brother Neil 10-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Lucky Brody 10-1 4th


6th: MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Starship Dreams 9-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Penelopepitstop 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Shining Colors 5-1 WON ($14.80)
Super Add: #5 Bonkers 3-1 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Day's most intriguing affair offers wide variety of price options starting with the Clement's Community Adjusted (10-1). Long-winded and forward-moving Summer Front miss exits string of 10f efforts that make her particularly eligible to attend pace and finish assuming Franco puts her into the race off the break..

Best Value: #9 Community Adjusted 10-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Town Avenger 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Magisterium 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Island Treasure 15-1 5th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Honey Money 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Betsy Blue 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Trinni Luck 7-2 WON ($12.80)
Super Add: #3 Diva Banker 3-1 4th


9th: Pat Mahony, 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Arrest Me Red 9-2 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #3 Sky's Not Falling 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Into the Sunrise 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Momos 7-2 4th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

The best hop is the drop and it may be all 5yo Clever Fellow needs to find elusive winner's circle, but singling him feels mighty perilous given his repeated placements. Viking Zim exits live race ~ Danzigwiththestars won again Sunday ~ and likely arrives on the scene on a more timely basis today. Addicted to You, a bulbous 30-1, has had trouble of one sort or another repeatedly and is within range of the contenders beyond the (shaky) favorite..

Most Likely: #4 Clever Fellow 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #10 Viking Zim 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Addicted to You 30-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Ghostmon 8-1 4th


P6 Grid:

5: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 9 (A), 2-11 (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x3x2x1 = $108
All A's: 2x3x1x1x2x2 = $24


P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-9-11 (A), - (B), 1-4-8-12 (C)
8: 6 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x2x2 = 108 x .50 = $81
All A's: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1-4-8-12 in 7th): 3x4x1x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-3-4/1-4-8-12/6/3-8/4-10)


P4 Grid:

7: 7-9-11 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-8-12 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (4-8-12 in 7th): 3x2x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-8-12/2-6/3-8/4-10)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-11-2021 09:49 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S


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