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-   -   7/22: Saratoga (Day 6; 5th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=69885)

Kasept 07-22-2021 04:05 AM

7/22: Saratoga (Day 6; 5th-10th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Hope Over Fear 12-1: From turfy dam, hints at ability; Mott +ROI in 8f+ debuts.. 4th
Next Best: #4 Expand the Map 6-5: Klaravich IRE import looks well prepared.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Hail To 9-2: From the Woodslane powerhouse mare Dynaire.. 5th
Super Add: #10 Pizza Bianca 3-1: One of 2 tepid working Clements; Lures Rosario.. WON ($12.40)


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Clement-Waterville Lake firster Derrynane (Quality Road out of turf sprint SW Portmagee) stands out in otherwise modest-looking set..

Most Likely: #3 DERRYNANE 5-2 ($4.00)
Best Value: #10 Captainsdaughter 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Quick Power Nap 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Our Tiny Dancer 6-1 6th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Cause to Dream 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Quantitativbreezin 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Traffic Lane 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Chloe Rose 6-1 WON ($10.60)


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Saez is going to put them asleep on the front end with Niall Seville's Lagom..

Best Value: #7 Lagom 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Cat's Pajamas 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Lovely Lucky 6-5 WON ($4.70)
Super Add: #6 Mia Martina 3-1 4th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Looks like a rare 9f assembly with legitimate pace involved which unfortunately should play into the hands of Irad and favored Ice Princess..

Most Likely: #3 Ice Princess 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Subsidiary 12-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Love and Love 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e Rigney Ownership entry 3-1 WON ($8.50)/4th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Treacherous finale group that all looks the same with droppers, invaders and firsters muddying the waters..

Best Value: #2 Orma 6-1 -
Next Best: #12 Stella Mars 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Social Whirl 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #8 Ob La Di 12-1 -


P6 Grid:

5: 4-6
6: 3
7: 5-6-9
8: 2-7
9: 3
10: 2-4-8-11-12

Simple Caveman Ticket: 2x1x3x2x1x5 = $60


P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-6-9 (A), - (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-8-12 (A), 1-3-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x1x7 = $42 ($21 for .50)
All A's: 1x3x2x1x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)
Backups: $12 (1-4-7-10)


P4 Grid:

7: 5-6-9 (A), - (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-12 (A), 1-8-11 (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x6 = $36 ($18 for .50)
All A's: 3x2x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $12 (1-4-7-10) + $3 (3)


Good luck!
Steve


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