Rebel Stakes Day
 

Trying to do my best Steve impression here. I listed C horses but I'm only going to be playing the A+B for these bets. Good luck all.

Race 5 - Azeri (8.5 furlongs)
#3 Letruska - 3/1
#5 Shedaresthedevil - 2/1
#1 Envoutante - 5/2

Race 6 - Allowance (8.5 furlongs)
#1 Ashaar - 9/2
#10 Claytnthelionheart - 7/2
#3 Excession - 3/1
#4 Aasr - 5/1

Race 7 - Essex (8.5 furlongs)
#2 Harpers First Ride - 4/1
#7 Night Ops - 3/1
#5 Silver State - 2/1
#6 Green Light Go - 6/1

Race 8 - Allowance OC (6 furlongs)
#9 American Butterfly - 8/1
#7 Secret Courier - 7/2
#3 Royal Daaher - 9/2
#10 Ancient Warrior - 5/1
#1 One For Richie - 3/1

Race 9 - Temperence Hill (12 furlongs)
#10 Campaign - 7/2
#8 Split the Wickets - 8/1
#6 Treasure Trove - 12/1
#7 Muralist - 20/1 - SCRATCHED

Race 10 - Hot Springs (6 furlongs)
#6 Whitmore - 8/5
#4 Engage - 8/1
#2 Flagstaff - 9/2
#7 C Z Rocket - 2/1

Race 11 - Rebel Stakes (8.5 furlongs)
#7 Concert Tour - 2/1
#1 Caddo River - 9/5
#4 Get Her Number - 8/1
#6 Keepmeinmind - 4/1

Race 12 - Starter Allowance $30K (8 furlongs)
#7 Solomonic - 4/1
#13 General Trev - 6/1
#8 Oro de Tejano - 8/1
#10 Off the Meds - 12/1


Pick 4 (Race 9-12)
Race 9: 8-10 (A); 6-7SCR (B); 1-2 (C)
Race 10: 2-4-6 (A); 1-7 (B); - (C)
Race 11: 7 (A); - (B); 1 (C)
Race 12: 7-8-13 (A); 1-2-10 (B); 5 (C)

All A’s: $9.00 (2x3x1x3)
A + B: $45.00 (3x5x1x6)


Pick 5 (Races 8-12)
Race 8: 3-7-9-10 (A); 1 (B); 8 (C)
Race 9: 8-10 (A); - (B); 6-7SCR (C)
Race 10: 6 (A); 2-4 (B) 7 (C)
Race 11: 7 (A); - (B); 1 (C)
Race 12: 7-8-13 (A); 1-2-10 (B); 5 (C)

All A’s: $12.00 (4x2x1x1x3)
A + B: $90.00 (5x2x3x1x6)

Race 4 could be an interesting maiden race.

#2 Cryo is a 1/2 to MGSW sprinter Dust and Diamonds. He's also got a few other sibs that have won some stakes races.

#4 Battle Hymn's dam is Debutante and Schuylerville winner Gold Mover. She's got a couple stakes winners that she's produced already.

#6 Global Appeal is a 1/2 to Mucho Macho Man and Federico Tesio winner Awesome Speed. He'll try dirt for the first time and get lasix.

A few others have some nice workouts. I may have missed some other dam/sibling connections. Should be a nice race.

Good stuff Moses and good luck. That 4th race is interesting indeed. I’m loading up on the 1 there.

Thanks and good luck. I’m keeping my eye on the 6 there with those 20/1 ML odds. I like the 1 too.

Still waiting on the scratches but started looking at TVG and realized there is no Pick 4 for races 5-8. Doh!

Not sure how that happened. I probably won’t play the pick 4 for races 6-9.

Thanks for posting Moses. Good luck today. Couple brief thoughts:

In the 6th while Ashaar will be dangerous on the front end I think he will have to step forward and clean up his act late to hold off Claytnthelinheart today. Thought he ran awesome off the bench and will be closer to today’s pace.

In the Hot Springs I much prefer both Boldor and CZ Rocket to Whitmore. Can’t wait to watch him beat me yet again.

In The Rebel I much prefer Caddo River to Concert Tour. I get the knocks but I think he will be pretty tough to run down gunning from the rail. While it seems like Big Lake is the obvious wiseguy horse I’m guessing he will be shorter than the horse absurdly low on the ML in Super Stock...but I actually like SS in here a touch. Horse is training like he’s stepped forward from 2 to 3 and has always shown talent. Had some subtle trips, has tactical speed...would really need to make a major leap forward but I’ll be using today.

The last looks like an absolute minefield. Instead of spreading I’m going to use 7 and 13 who look most likely to me and hope to be alive.

GL

I wanted to use both Concert Tour and Caddo River but it just got too expensive. I love Concert Tour so I’m just jumping in and hoping for the best.

Once I realize that I messed up the earlier Pick 4, I added Boldor and CZ Rocket to my late Pick 4 wager. I really like Engage and not sure what to make of Flagstaff adding blinkers. That should be an interesting race.

In the 8th, Ashaar looks like the main speed but I have a feeling he will get pace pressure so I wanted to cover with those other two. I think that makes sense.

Thanks and good luck.

CZ Rocket has poor record at Oaklawn. Whitmore has a very good one.

This is lazy. CZ Rocket has run 4 times there. 3 of those races were two turns and the last time was when he was in the worst form of his career and was claimed by Miller who turned him into a buzzsaw.

If he loses it won’t be because of his poor record at Oaklawn.

Oaklawn Race 4
$2 ex. box 1-2-6
$5 win 6
$5 double 1,6 / 3

Aqueduct 4th
Win #4

Oaklawn R4:

$20 win: 4

Damn. I thought I had it.

Aqu R6:

$4 ex: 3-4 w 6
$15 win: 6

Interesting tactics there. That looked more scripted than Wrestlemania

Gulf 7
 

$10 exacta
7/
5-8-9

One of the benefits to the 6 missing in race 4 is that I wasn’t alive to the double there because I would have lost my mind with that ride on Letruska.

Ashaar at even money odds is ridiculous.

Oaklawn 6th
Win #2

Nice one.